Watching our t-storm chances for Friday

Another possible severe setup is trying to return for some
Frithreat

While the start to our new work/school week has been a quiet and mild one, we are watching for a stronger storm system to come our way by the time we get the weekend started. Thursday’s t-storm chances look to be just on the strong side as temperatures will only top out in the upper 60s. We’ll need to watch the setup closely for Friday, though. While we could see t-storms to start Friday out during the morning, you can see how our far western counties in Kansas and Oklahoma is being clipped by a low risk for severe weather for Friday afternoon and evening. While this system will have stronger upper-level support, unstable air, more moisture and support at the surface with an incoming dryline & cold front, the key question is how much warm air aloft will we encounter.

Even though the better likelihood for strong to severe t-storms will be in central/southern Kansas and down into Oklahoma, we’ll keep an eye on those t-storms as they develop late Friday afternoon and into Friday night. If we can weaken the cap (that layer of warmer air aloft), that will allow some of those strong to severe t-storms to work into some of our western communities by the evening hours. If the cap breaks or weakens here, it could also allow for some scattered strong to severe t-storms to fire up in our western areas as well. Nonetheless, it does seem like we’ll contend with rain and t-storm chances with this system for Friday and heading into Saturday morning. We’ll continue to keep a close eye on this setup throughout the course of the week.