Warming up quite a bit for our Sunday – Nick

Watching rain chances down the road
Sunplanner

Good early Sunday morning, everyone. We kept things on the quiet side for the first weekend of the fall season so far. Plus, it doesn’t hurt that temperatures have been fairly good to us as well. On the heels of a warm Friday with highs around 80, we turned quite chilly to start Saturday morning out. After we saw lows in the lower 50s, dry air and a light breeze meant temperatures had no problem going back into the upper 70s for yesterday afternoon.

36hrtrend

Let’s break down our weather setup. Behind the cold front that swept through on Friday, we enjoyed a quiet Saturday with high pressure in control. While it will keep us quiet as we head into today, the south wind around the high will kick into gear as it heads to the east.

Surfacemap

Upstairs at the jet stream level, the jet is starting to shift once again. While we stayed on the milder side on our Saturday, the jet is working back into the region and should shift just to the north of the region by the afternoon. While that will also result in quite a warm up for today, we’ll stay dry while we also keep an eye on our next upper-level low coming from the southwest.

Jetsetup

With mostly clear skies and a light south breeze this morning, we’ll start the day on a chilly note once again with lows in the middle to upper 50s across the area.

Sunam

Going throughout the rest of our Sunday, the south wind will pick up at 5-15 mph late in the morning before kicking up to 10-20 mph during the afternoon (gusts near 25 mph at times). With that, sunny skies and dry air in place, we’ll have temperatures waste no time once again warming up. This time, though, we’ll have highs push into the upper 80s to near 90 across the area.

Sunaftn

The Future Track below sums up our weather setup for Monday and Tuesday of this week. With the jet just to the north and partly to mostly sunny skies in place, we’ll have highs right around 90 across the area. We’ll stay mainly on the dry side while we watch for our upper-level low coming across the Desert Southwest.

Monjet

While there may be a slight chance for a random t-storm for late Tuesday afternoon and Tuesday evening, the passing wave still wants to bring our next best shot for scattered rain and t-storms on Wednesday. With that and partly sunny skies in the forecast, that should keep temperatures in the middle 80s for highs on our Wednesday.

Wedjet

While that wave will move on as we work into Thursday and the upcoming weekend, another wave will develop in the Desert Southwest. With that and a stationary front that will be parked across the Central Plains just to our west, we’ll hold on to scattered t-storm chances for Thursday, Friday and Saturday of this week.

Frijet

With the rain chances and mostly cloudy skies for Thursday, we’ll expect highs to top out in the lower 80s for the afternoon. With partly sunny skies and the rain chances for Friday and Saturday, we’ll see that result in highs in the middle 80s.

Have a great Sunday!

Nick