Warm & dry once again for your Tuesday – Nick
Summer heat still eager to return very soon
Good early Tuesday morning, everyone. After quite a lengthy stretch of hot and humid weather, it was quite nice to have temperatures back near and below normal to wrap up the weekend and kick off a new work week. In fact, the drier air allowed temperatures to start in the upper 50s Monday morning before temperatures quickly warmed into the lower to middle 80s for the afternoon. In fact, the surface map still has an area of high pressure working over northern Missouri. It’s keeping dry air in place and a breeze out of the east to start our Tuesday out.
While we had high pressure in control at the surface, there was a quick upper-level wave working over the region. Even though the upper-level wave had enough moisture in the middle and upper levels to bring cloud cover in from yesterday evening into this morning, any rain chances kept falling apart as it moved eastward over drier air in the lower levels of the atmosphere.
As the upper-level wave continues to move on, the partly cloudy skies this morning will give way to mostly sunny skies for this afternoon. Combined with the dry air mass and the light wind speeds throughout the day, this will take temperatures from the lower 60s this morning back into the middle 80s this afternoon.
While today is looking great with quiet skies and warm temperatures, we’ll start to see some changes as we head into Wednesday. After a quiet start to the day with lows in the lower 60s, warmer temperatures aloft will mix down to the surface and push highs back near 90 for the afternoon.
Warmer air aloft will start to work back into the area on Wednesday as we’ll find ourselves sneak back onto the warmer side of the jet stream. That trend will continue for Thursday with highs staying in the lower 90s under mostly sunny skies.
While the lifting jet stream will favor temperatures back above normal for Friday and the rest of the upcoming holiday weekend, a few interesting factors want to start coming into play by then as well. We’ll watch for another frontal system to come at us from the north/northwest while tropical moisture wants to come our way from the south. While that could lead to a few isolated t-storms Friday with highs in the lower 90s, we could see more numerous t-storm chances on Saturday. With that being the case, it might just be a very warm Saturday with highs only topping out in the upper 80s.
With both features still around for Sunday and Labor Day, we’ll keep the chance for scattered t-storms in the forecast for both days while highs want to top out in the lower 90s across the region.
Don’t forget that Doug’s long-range forecast is below.
July 5th-July 9th: Hot for Sunday before we stay warm for the 4th, Tuesday and Wednesday. Then, hot temperatures return for the rest of the week. Slight t-storm chances for Monday, Tuesday, Thursday and Friday.
July 10th-July 16th: Hot temperatures this week. Slight t-storm chances Tuesday, Friday and Saturday.
July 17th-July 23rd: Warm for Sunday and Monday before hot temperatures return for the rest of the week. Slight t-storm chances Sunday, Wednesday and Saturday.
July 24th-July 30th: With the exception of a warm Thursday and Friday, hot for the week. Slight t-storm chances Sunday through Wednesday.
July 31st-August 6th: Hot for much of the week before we back down to warm temperatures by Friday and Saturday. Slight t-storm chances Monday through Friday.
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