Warm & breezy once again for your Sunday – Nick

Eyeing returning rain & t-storm chances for the coming week

Good early Sunday morning, everyone. As advertised, we started our Saturday out with some spots on the Kansas and Oklahoma side picking up on some isolated showers and a few t-storms during the morning hours. Before that batch of rain fell apart over the Joplin area, anyone that saw the rain saw nothing more than a quarter of an inch to three-quarters of an inch of total rainfall. Even with these quick rain chances, we had temperatures go from the upper 50s Saturday morning to highs in the lower 80s for the afternoon. The changing weather setup will make sure that warm temperatures will stick with us through the rest of the holiday weekend. We have another warm front coming in from the west.


While the front’s main job is to make sure we stay warm for today, it and another quick upper-level wave coming out of Colorado wants to try to bring the slightest chance for a random shower or t-storm or two by sunrise. Otherwise, partly cloudy skies will make a return through the early morning. That and a south wind picking up between 10 and 20 mph will only let lows drop back into the upper 60s.


Even if the rain chances are just slight, they certainly won’t stick around for long this morning. Everyone will be dry as we get this afternoon underway under partly to mostly sunny skies. With the south wind at 15 to 25 mph with some gusts over 30 mph, that will push highs back into the middle to upper 80s across the area.


Once we get past another quiet evening under partly cloudy to mostly clear skies, we’ll enjoy a quiet Memorial Day. That’s not something I’ve said a lot within the 10 years I’ve been down in this area. Usually, we can’t get by the Memorial Day Weekend without a big storm system and decent t-storm chances either at some point in the weekend or on the holiday itself. This time around, we’ll keep things dry under partly sunny skies. After a mild start near 70°, the south wind at 15-25 mph will send us back into the middle 80s for the afternoon.


After we wrap up the holiday weekend, our attention will turn to returning t-storm chances starting on Tuesday. With our next storm system pushing in from the northwest, we’ll see scattered t-storms start developing by the afternoon. Depending on how our setup looks, we could potentially see strong to severe t-storms for Tuesday afternoon and Tuesday evening. It’s a setup we’ll certainly keep an eye on over the next few days. Even with the t-storm chances returning, we’ll push highs into the middle 80s for Tuesday afternoon.


The incoming front by Tuesday will be slow to shift through the region as we work through the middle of the week. With the front still around for Wednesday and another upper-level wave passing nearby, we’ll hold on to rain and t-storm chances under mostly cloudy skies for our Wednesday. That setup would only allow highs to top out in the middle 70s across the region.


Even though the front sinks to the south of the region by Thursday, it will still be close to keep some scattered t-storm chances in the forecast for the day with highs in the lower 70s. While we will start to warm back up by Friday and for the first full weekend of June, look at what wants to develop and work into the area by Friday. If this upper-level wave can still develop and pass close to the area, we’ll hold on to scattered t-storm chances for Friday and Saturday. Even with that, we’ll push highs back near 80° as we work into next weekend.


Don’t forget that Doug has your long range forecast out through the rest of the month and to the 2nd of July down below. Have a great Sunday!


June 5th-11th:  Warm all week long. Slight t-storm chances Sunday. Watching for slight t-storm chances Tuesday and better t-storm chances Wednesday. Both days could have a severe threat. We’ll watch for additional slight t-storm chances and a severe threat for both Friday and Saturday.

June 12th-18th: Warm Sunday before we heat up for Monday through Wednesday. Warm from Thursday into the weekend. Slight t-storm chances with a severe threat Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday. We’ll have better t-storm chances with another severe threat for Thursday before we dry out for the weekend.

June 19th-25th: With the exception of a warm Tuesday, mainly hot for the week. We’ll have slight t-storm chances with a possible severe threat on Monday, Thursday and Saturday.

June 26th-July 2nd:  A hot start with a warm middle and hot end of the week.  Scattered storms on Sunday, Monday, Friday and Saturday.