Tropical Update – October 21, 2020

Few areas in the Atlantic we're watching

The latest look at the Tropics shows a quiet Pacific Basin once again while we keep an eye on a few areas in the Atlantic Basin. First, a trough of low pressure is still located in the western Caribbean Sea producing a large area of disorganized rain and t-storms. At first, the system was drifting slowly to the west. Now, this wave will want to work toward western Cuba and the Straits of Florida over the next few days. Once this wave emerges into the northwestern Bahamas by early next week, some development will be possible. We’ll give this wave a 20% chance to develop into a depression over the next 5 days. Elsewhere, we find Epsilon as Major Category 3 Hurricane with wind speeds maxed at 115 mph. It will maintain that strength over the next few days as its movement will keep it to the east of the island of Bermuda. Even with the center of Epsilon staying to the east of the island, Tropical Storm Warnings are out for the island as they will experience tropical storm force winds over the next few days. Once it gets past the island by Friday morning, the cooler waters of the Atlantic will cause this to weaken before it shoots into the northern Atlantic as a post-tropical storm by early next week.