T-storm chances set to continue Wednesday – Nick
A break in the action Thursday before it picks up again
Good early Wednesday morning, everyone. Despite the mostly cloudy skies, we did go from a mild start in the lower 70s Tuesday morning to afternoon highs in the lower to middle 80s for the afternoon. Even with the clouds, we kept dry until the t-storms started to pick up during the late afternoon and evening hours. That activity is being pushed in by our advancing frontal system at the surface.
The front will continue to push t-storms across the northern half of the area to start this early morning out. You can see how that more of the area will start to get in on the action once we get past 3 AM. Once we get to that time, though, our severe threat will drop off enough where we won’t be concerned about the activity as we get the AM drive started.
With the continued rain and t-storm chances to get the morning started, though, we will see temperatures drop back into the lower to middle 60s by 7 o’clock this morning.
Once this activity clears out, we’ll see a bit of a break in the action for the late morning hours and to start the afternoon out. However, the front working in will still be around in our southern counties or just to our south. That will allow for another batch of rain and t-storms to come in from the west after 1 or 2 o’clock this afternoon. Any chances for severe weather will be fairly low. That being said, it’s something we’ll keep an eye on and another chance for more rain to head our way. Even with these returning rain chances, we will see a bit of a warm afternoon today with highs in the upper 70s around Joplin. Outlying areas will be in the lower to upper 70s from north to south.
While we’ll have to start our Wednesday evening out with scattered rain and t-storms, we’ll dry things out as we head through the night and into early Thursday morning. Given the additional rounds of rain on the way, much of the area (southeast Kansas and southwest Missouri from Jasper to Stockton Lake northward) are under flood watches. That’s because the rain on the way could add up to an additional 1 to 3 inches. That could certainly lead to minor (if not flash) flooding concerns for some areas that we’ll need to keep an eye on.
On the positive side, we’ll get a dry Thursday to serve as a good break in between rain chances. The day will start mostly cloudy before we try to mix between mostly cloudy and partly sunny skies Thursday afternoon. After lows drop back into the upper 50s Thursday morning, we’ll see highs push back into the lower to middle 70s for Thursday afternoon.
We’ll have additional rain and t-storm chances to watch as we work into the upcoming weekend and early next week. Temperatures will be on the warming trend back into the lower to middle 80s by early next week, though. Don’t forget Doug’s long-range forecast down below. Have a great Wednesday!
Next Wednesday-Saturday: Dry and warm for Wednesday. Continuing our warming trend for the second half of the week with thunderstorm chances back in by Friday.
June 12th-18th: A warm start with hot temperatures by the middle of the week. Back to warm temperatures late week and heading into the weekend. Thunderstorm chances Sunday and Monday, then again Wednesday and Thursday.
June 19th-25th: Mainly a hot week with scattered storms on Monday, Thursday and Saturday.
June 26th-July 2nd: A warm to hot week with scattered thunderstorms on Sunday and Monday, then again Friday and Saturday.
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