Staying cold with accumulating snow around for Saturday – Nick

Drying out by Sunday & early next week, though
Satplanner

Good early Saturday morning, everyone. Mother Nature sure spoiled us for the past few days (as far as temperatures go) before it started to bring the cold back in tonight and for our Saturday. We had a mild Thursday with highs in the lower 60s before we trended back into chilly territory with highs in the middle 50 across the area for our Friday afternoon.

36hrtrend

While it was nice to see temperatures above normal for the past few days, our incoming storm system is starting to bring the winter cold back into play. Not only that, it brought winter weather advisories back across the vast majority of the area. They won’t expire until we get into late this evening.

Wintadv

The storm system that brought the winter weather advisories into play has been building across the Northwest, the Northern Great Plains and the Upper Midwest throughout the course of the week. Now, the system at the surface is making its way over the region. While we started Friday out on the warmer side of the system that kept us in the 50s and some areas of sprinkles/drizzle during the afternoon, the cold front is bringing in the colder air that will switch our rain chances over to snow throughout the early morning hours. We also have an inverted trough (the dashed black line) that will play a role in the forecast for today.

Surfacemap

Upstairs, we have an upper-level low coming into play out of Nebraska. Not only will that aid in our snow chances for today, that low will make sure we stay much colder for today and for Sunday.

Jetsetup

At midnight, we had rain switching over to snow across much of southeast Kansas west of US 69 and into parts of northeast Oklahoma. Between 1 and 3 o’clock this morning, the dropping temperatures from the US 69 corridor to the Joplin area to the I-49 corridor will continue to switch the rain over to snow.

Sat3am

Once we get to sunrise this morning with most areas dropping back to lows around 30 degrees, we’ll all be dealing with wet snow coming down at a light to moderate clip in general. There could be some embedded pockets of heavier snow before the first initial batch tries to clear to our east.

Sat6am

The inverted trough with this system will then start to work on through during the course of the day. From this morning into the afternoon, that will bring in the backside of the system and the second band of snow (some bands heavy at times) across the area. You can see below that the clouds and the snow won’t leave much room for temperatures to do any warming up. We’ll see temperatures in the lower to middle 30s around the Joplin area while areas to the northwest will make do with afternoon temperatures in the upper 20s to near 30 degrees.

Sat3pm

Fortunately, there is a good reason why these winter weather advisories will start dropping by the wayside as we get into this evening. The snow chances will start clearing out to our southeast as we get this evening underway. You can see down below that the accumulating snow will be pretty much out of here by 8 o’clock. We’ll still have plenty of cloud cover around to keep temperatures cold as we head into tonight.

Satevening

With a little bit of clearing and the snow that we’ll get, that will cause lows for Sunday morning to drop back into the upper teens and lower 20s across the area with Joplin dropping back near 21 by the time we get to sunrise. With partly sunny skies returning and a west to southwest wind also eager to return, we’ll see temperatures back above freezing for Sunday afternoon. It will still be a cold end to the weekend, though, with highs in the upper 30s across the area.

Sunaftn

As far as how much snow we’ll see before we dry things out on Sunday, your results will vary. In our far western areas from Emporia to Chanute to Parsons west, you’ll see snow amounts between a dusting and an inch. From the east, there will be a thin band of 1 to 3 inches in the lighter shade of blue. Everyone else will be fair game to see snow amounts range between 2 and 5 inches before the snow chances clear out tonight. It wouldn’t be surprising if any heavier bands of snow could lead to a few spots in our southern counties to push close to 6 inches before the system moves on.

Satsnow

Beyond a cold and drier Sunday, we’ll stay dry for Monday and Tuesday with highs back in the middle 40s on Monday and middle 50s on Tuesday. I am keeping an eye on a few weak waves by the middle of the week that could bring a few rain showers our way Wednesday morning and a few snow showers on Thursday. Doug has you covered from next Saturday through early February with his long range forecast down below. Have a great Saturday!

Nick

Next Saturday: Staying dry and cool.

Jan. 23rd-29th:  Cool for the first half of the week before we warm up Thursday and Friday with rain chances. Colder by the weekend.

Jan 30th-Feb 5th:  Cool the first half of the week but a mild second half of the week.  Slight rain chances on Thursday and Saturday.

Feb 6th-12th:  Mainly a cool week with rain chances Monday and snow chances on Tuesday.  Thunderstorms and mild temperatures by the weekend.