It’s going to be a wild weather weekend. Read Doug’s latest blog.

Wild weather weekend.-Doug

We made it to the weekend!  It will be a wild one.  And a very loud start.  Showers and thunderstorms all night long, especially along and north of I-44.  Some of these storms will be strong and maybe a couple low grade severe, nothing tornadic with this batch.  It will continue into the morning hours.

8 Am

This will dump some heavy rains.

Rainfall

I actually expect more rain that what is posted above.  I think by Saturday afternoon, we look good.  Sunshine returns with highs into the lower 70s.  Now northern counties stay into the 60s.

Scattered thunderstorms return late Saturday night and Sunday morning.  These will be non-severe but stick around through Sunday morning.

Sunday Am

We will clear out and get some sun and this will set the stage for some severe weather.  Timing should be from 3-7pm  on Sunday.  Most of the threat will be from Ft. Scott-Pitt-Miami points east, so our western counties don’t really have much of a threat.  Between 3-4 supercells should get going.

Sunday Pm

Look at the map above, if you live to the left(or west) of these you won’t really have a severe threat.  These will blow east quickly and gone by 7pm.  But we have a tornado threat.

Severe Threat

I will keep you updated.

Heady Pattern:  We are cruising through the New Heady pattern that was fully set around September 20th.  Remember, a pattern is what keeps happening.  For instance, we keep getting rain, or snow, heat or a drought.  Now inside the pattern, there is a recurring cycle.  Last years cycle was 46 days long. We are back in a La Nina that looks to get a little stronger through the winter.  This is an influence but only and influence on the pattern.  I am getting very close to nailing down the new cycle length.  I need a week or two to verify but getting close.  It will be a longer cycle this year compared to the 46 day cycle last year.  I think this pattern is going to be a much better pattern than last year.  Well if you like weather.  Long range below.

-Doug

Next Thursday-Saturday: Mild with showers on Thursday.  Chilly and dry heading into Halloween weekend.

October 31st-November 6th: Halloween looks fine right now with mild temperatures.  Staying mild through the first half of the week with showers and thunderstorms on Wednesday and Thursday.  Cooler with showers into the weekend.

November 7th-13th:  Most of the week mild with rain by Thursday.  Turning sharply colder on Friday and Saturday.

November 14th-20th:  Cool the first half of the week with some showers on Monday.  Mild the second half of the week with rain chances on Friday and Saturday.