Monday PM Blog – Staying dry for Tuesday – Nick

Before more rain chances work back in
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Surface

Upstairs, the upper level wave that helped to get the scattered rain and t-storms to develop earlier in the evening is also scooting off to the east.

Uppersetupcentral

While we’re done with any rain or t-storm chances for the rest of the night, the cloud cover is being a bit stubborn to clear out. Even though we’ll hold on to partly to mostly cloudy skies to start Tuesday morning out, have the coats ready. We’ll start cold with lows in the middle to upper 30s in most spots.

Tuesdayam

While the clouds will be around to start the morning out, we’ll eventually turn partly sunny as we head into the afternoon. The only thing to watch for Tuesday is how fast we can get the sun to return. If we hold with partly sunny skies during the afternoon, we’ll get highs back into the upper 50s. If we turn mostly sunny going into the afternoon, we could have lower 60s for the afternoon. Either way, a touch cooler for Tuesday afternoon but a good rebound after our cold start for the morning.

Tuesaftn

Even though we do stay dry for Tuesday and Tuesday evening, the upper low still in the Pacific will send some more waves our way…

Uppersetup

The next wave that the upper low will send our way will work in during the overnight as we head into early Wednesday morning. The wave may start things off as some scattered showers and t-storms early Wednesday morning in central and south-central Kansas, but indications have that turning into a complex of strong t-storms as it works in early Wednesday morning.

Wedamstorms

After we get that batch of t-storms out of the picture, we’ll stay dry and partly sunny for Wednesday afternoon. Come Thursday, another wave will bring in additional t-storms and clouds for Thursday.

Thursdaystorms

Getting into the weekend, a few showers can’t be ruled on an otherwise cloudy and chilly Friday. The main wave will finally begin to kick out of the southwest and move into the Central Plains on Saturday. That looks to bring potential snow chances for parts of the Upper Midwest while we have a wet Saturday lined up for us.

Satrain

Even as that main upper low kicks out Saturday night and into Sunday, another upper low will come out of the Pacific Northwest and bring in more rain and t-storm chances for early next week. All these rain chances will add up to quite a range of rain amounts over the next 7 days. The placement will vary over the next several days as we get a better idea of where the heavier rain will set up, but we could have amounts between half an inch to almost 3 inches by next Monday.

Rainamounts

 

Don’t forget that Doug has your long range forecast out into early May down below.

Have a good night and a great Tuesday!

Nick

Long range forecast through early May:

March 15th-21st:  Mild with rain on Monday and Tuesday.  Cool through the middle of the week with mild temperatures back in late in the week with a slight chance for storms on Saturday.

March 22nd-29th:  Mild with storms to start the week on Sunday.  Staying mainly mild through the week with thunderstorms on Wednesday and Thursday with our next system.  Another system works in by the time the weekend rolls around.

March 30th-April 5th:  Rain on Sunday and Monday with mild temperatures.  A bigger system with thunderstorms on Thursday and Friday.

April 6th-10th:  A cool and dry start to the week.  Chances for thunderstorms on Wednesday with a weak system, better chances for thunderstorms on Friday and Saturday.

April 11th-18th:  A mild and dry start to the week.  Showers work in on Tuesday and Wednesday.  Rain chances back in by Saturday.

April 19th-25th:  Most of the week will be mild with cooler temperatures working in late in the week.  Slight chances for storms with a weak wave on Monday.  A strong wave with showers and thunderstorms on Wednesday, Thursday and Friday.

April 26th-May 2nd:  A mild week but dry the first half of the week.  Chances for thunderstorms on Wednesday and Thursday and then slight chances by Saturday.

#headypattern

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