Mild & quiet trend keeps on trucking for Wednesday – Nick

Two systems in the extended forecast we're watching

Good Tuesday evening, everyone. It’s a little hard to believe that we’re wrapping up the month of November today. It’s also a little hard to believe that we’re still getting this mild this late in the year. Normally, we should have highs topping out in the lower 50s as we wrap up November and work into December. After we spend the past few nights with lows in the upper 30s, we stayed mild for the past few afternoons with highs in the middle 60s.


That was still quite a warm up with our current front and upper-level wave passing through the region today. Both produced quite a bit of cloud cover and some areas of sprinkles. Otherwise, the latest check of the surface map has the front through the region and ready to fall apart as we work into Wednesday.


Upstairs at the jet stream level, an upper-level wave is passing to our north over the Dakotas and into Minnesota. There’s cold enough air to the north where those areas are seeing some snow as we head through the rest of the evening. Around here, the low will keep sending in partly to mostly cloudy skies in from the southwest as we work through the night.


With the cloud cover and a returning southwest wind sticking with us as we head into Wednesday morning, most spots will stay in the 40s to start the morning out. Areas around Joplin and in southwest Missouri will drop back into the middle 40s while areas west of Joplin and west of the Kansas/Missouri line will mainly drop back into the lower 40s.


With a light westerly breeze working together with partly sunny skies for our Wednesday afternoon, we’ll jump right back into mild territory for the afternoon. After we start Wednesday afternoon with temperatures in the lower 60s, we’ll top out in the middle 60s for the afternoon. Some areas west of 69 could even sneak into the upper 60s before the day is through.


With a southwesterly breeze and mostly clear skies locked in for Wednesday night and Thursday, we’ll keep this mild trend going for the second day of December. After lows drop back into the upper 40s in the morning, we’ll have afternoon highs soar into the lower to middle 70s across the area.


Since December does kick off over the next few days, you know temperatures like this won’t stick around for long. However, partly sunny skies and a jet stream to our north will push highs back into the middle 70s to kick off the first weekend of December.


Then, our next wave and storm system will take shape and push into the region. Mostly cloudy skies and scattered showers and t-storms will be around as we work through our Saturday and certainly for our Sunday down below. Even with the clouds and rain chances, we’ll have lows starting in the middle 50s and highs topping out in the middle 60s for both Saturday and Sunday.


Once that system clears out, it will turn quite a bit cooler to start the first full work/school week of December. Partly sunny skies return for Monday. While Monday will look nice, we’ll start with lows in the lower 30s and highs topping out in the upper 40s. By Tuesday, we’ll stick with Doug’s pattern and see another storm system with rain chances head our way. Combine that with mostly cloudy skies, it will be a chilly Tuesday with highs in the middle 50s.


Doug has you covered with his long range forecast out to Christmas Day down below. Have a good night and a great Wednesday!


December 8th-11th: Warming back up by mid week with rain chances again Wednesday through Friday.  Then cooling back down for the weekend.

December 12th-18th: Cold for Sunday before we see cool air return Monday. Mild Tuesday through Thursday before we turn cooler again for Friday and Saturday. We’ll watch for slight rain chances Thursday.

December 19th-25th: Mild for Sunday and Monday before cooler air returns for Tuesday and Wednesday. Briefly mild for Thursday before we turn cold for Christmas Eve and Christmas Day. We’ll watch for rain chances Sunday and Monday to start the week. Rain chances on Thursday will switch to snow chances for Christmas Eve and snow showers for Christmas Day.