Mainly dry & a little chillier for Thursday – Nick

Quite a few waves we're still watching in the forecast

Good Wednesday evening, everyone. The daily temperature swings continued once again as we work through the middle of the week. Once we saw highs climb into the lower 60s Tuesday afternoon, temperatures fell into the lower 30s to start our Wednesday morning out. After sunrise, mild temperatures returned once again as Joplin Regional hit 61° this afternoon with other areas topping out in the upper 50s to lower 60s. Looking at our weather setup, the surface map shows another cold front that will stay to our north and the trailing warm front up into Canada showing another frontal boundary that will head our way as we get into the weekend.


In the meantime, a weak upper-level wave that’s producing some rain out in parts of Nebraska and Kansas will work on in tonight. It will collapse as it works in. However, it will still have enough lift and moisture to bring mostly cloudy skies our way to start Thursday morning out. Plus, we can’t rule out a few sprinkles and a few flurries as lows drop back near 33° in Joplin and lower to middle 30s across the rest of the area.


After we get past our mostly cloudy start to the day, we’ll have partly to mostly sunny skies return with a southwest wind at 5-10 mph. That will allow temperatures to climb back near 50° at the noon hour and into the middle 50s for Thursday afternoon.


After we keep quiet under partly cloudy skies Thursday night with lows in the lower 40s, our next cold front will bring mostly cloudy skies back in for Friday. On top of that, it still wants to bring in just enough moisture to bring a few showers our way for late Friday afternoon and into Friday evening. Before we see any potential showers develop, we’ll still see highs push near 60° across much of the area.


The latest look at this cold front shows it clearing out as we head into late Friday night and very early Saturday morning. Even though we’ll trend dry again for Saturday, a brief but noticeable drop in temperatures will take over throughout the day. After lows drop back into the middle 20s for Saturday morning, we’ll only see highs top out in the middle 30s.


Thankfully, that cold snap for Saturday will be a quick cold snap. After a cold Sunday morning with lows in the lower 20s, we’ll get our southwesterly wind back for Sunday and send highs back near 50° under partly sunny skies. For Valentine’s Day, it will be mild and quiet this time around under partly sunny skies (unlike the downright cold Valentine’s Day we had last year). After lows start around 30°, we’ll top out 60° for Monday afternoon.


After a mild and mostly cloudy Tuesday with highs back in the middle 60s, a stronger storm system will work on Wednesday. Early indications show that this system will bring in good chances for rain and t-storms (some strong to possibly low-grade severe). Even with these rain chances and mostly cloudy skies, we’ll have another mild day with highs around 60°.


In terms of what lies ahead beyond next Wednesday, Doug has you covered with his long range forecast out through early March down below. Have a good night and a great Thursday!


Feb 17th-19th:  Cold with rain or snow chances Thursday. Chilly for Friday and Saturday with slight rain chances Saturday.

Feb 20th-26th:  Warming up Sunday and Monday. Rain chances Monday and rain or snow chances Tuesday. Warming up again Thursday, Friday and Saturday with slight rain chances by the weekend.

Feb 27th-March 5th:  Rain Sunday and Monday. Chilly temperatures all week. Bigger system comes in on Saturday with rain.

March 6th-12th:  Much colder by Sunday with rain or snow. Cool most of the week with additional rain/snow chances on Friday.