Latest updated blog – Temperatures staying okay into the weekend – Nick

Rain chances we're watching down the line

Good Wednesday evening, everyone. On the heels of an incredibly mild day across the region yesterday, we did have a cold front roll on through the area today. You can see how it impacted temperatures below from the 36 hour trend out of Joplin Regional Airport. It turns out that we actually had a midnight high of 60 at the airport before we dropped into the upper 40s this morning. Even though it was cooler behind the cold front, afternoon temperatures were only just above normal as we climbed back into the middle 50s. It still wasn’t bad if you had to run some errands throughout the day.


Breaking down our weather setup, the cold front that snuck through today is already off to our south as high pressure is keeping our northerly wind going for tonight.


While we don’t have any systems at the surface on the way, it’s a different story upstairs at the jet stream level. While it was nice to have the upper-level ridge pay us a visit, that has moved on. We have our next wave on the way coming out of the Rockies and another one sitting in the Gulf of Alaska. Both will actually want to play a role in our forecast as the weekend gets started.


For our Thursday, it’ll be another quiet day for us. Our partly cloudy skies working in tonight will stick around as we work into our Thursday morning. With a north breeze at 5-15 mph, that will allow lows to drop into the upper 20s (lower 30s for a few spots) to start the day out.


Underneath partly sunny skies for the day ahead, we’ll see our wind switch from the east by lunchtime and from the southeast for the afternoon. This setup should push us into the middle 40s by the noon hour and by 50 for the afternoon.


Heading into Friday, those two upper-level lows will head into the region. The first wave in the Rockies will try to bring in a few showers our way by late Thursday night at the earliest and mainly early Friday morning before sunrise. Those showers will clip areas along and south of I-44. Once we get past a dry Friday AM drive and start to the afternoon, the second wave from the Gulf of Alaska will quickly spread in and give a better shot for scattered rain across more parts of the area late Friday afternoon and into the evening. Even with these rain chances around, we’ll still see highs top out in the lower 50s for much of the area for Friday afternoon.


Saturday is looking like a mainly dry day with partly sunny skies and highs pushing back into the middle 60s. With another wave on the horizon, that wants to bring more rain chances our way to wrap up the weekend. While there’s a chance that wave could bring a few showers our way late Saturday afternoon and into Saturday evening, you can see how the better rain chances with that wave will hold off until Sunday. With more cloud cover and rain chances in here for Sunday, that will bring highs back down near 50 for a chilly end to the weekend.


Looking at early next week, we’ll have a quiet and mostly cloudy Monday with highs in the lower 50s to kick off the new work/school week. By Tuesday, you can see down below how we’ll have another wave sneak on by and give us the chance for a few showers as we stay chilly with highs in the middle 50s.


Even though next Wednesday is looking nice with partly sunny skies and highs back in the lower 60s, we’ll have a stronger system bring better rain chances back in by next Thursday and Friday. If you’re curious as to how we look for the month of March and the first few days of April, Doug has you covered with his long range forecast down below.

Have a good night and a great Thursday!


Next Thursday-Saturday: We’ll stay mild for Thursday and Friday before we cool down a bit for Saturday. We’ll watch for a wave wanting to bring in rain chances late Thursday and into Friday before we dry out for Saturday.

March 7th-13th:  The week starts with cool temperatures for Sunday and Monday. Mild for Tuesday through Friday before we cool back down on Saturday. The only rain chances we see for this week will be on Thursday and Friday.

March 14th-20th:  We start the week with rain or snow chances on Sunday.  The cycle before this system produced 1″ of snow.  With cool temperatures for Sunday, we’ll watch it.  Mild temperatures return for Tuesday and Wednesday with rain chances on Wednesday and Thursday.  This system gave us severe weather with some tornado warnings on January 30th, lets watch this one!  Cool for Friday before we turn milder for Saturday as we start a dry weekend out.

March 21st-27th:  We’ll be mild for Sunday and Monday before we turn briefly cooler for Tuesday. A brief jump to a mild Wednesday before we stay cool for the rest of the week. We’ll watch for slight rain chances on Monday and better rain chances for Wednesday and Thursday.

March 28th-April 3rd:  Cool temperatures for Sunday and Monday. We’ll briefly turn mild for Tuesday and Wednesday before we cool back down for the rest of the week. We’ll watch for rain chances on Sunday, slight rain chances on Wednesday, rain chances on Thursday and rain/snow chances to start the weekend out.