Latest updated blog – T-storms keeping us busy into the start of the weekend – Nick
At least temperatures will want to stay mild, if not warm
Good Thursday evening, everyone. After we started out quite chilly this week, it’s nice to see the warmer temperatures finally return. Even though the warm front also had to bring in another round of rain and t-storms yesterday, we’ll definitely take the warm up that worked in over the past 36 hours.
We did see temperatures climb back into the upper 70s and lower 80s all across the board today underneath quiet skies. While most of the evening stays quiet with temperatures dropping back through the 70s, we’ll focus on t-storm chances really starting to pick up during the overnight.
Remember the warm front that worked through yesterday? A cold front has been trailing right behind it and staying just off to our west for most of the day. However, the front is kicking into gear as it readies its approach toward us late tonight. Ahead of it, we’re seeing strong to severe t-storms developing in northeast Kansas and into northwestern Missouri.
For most areas south of US 54, we’ll stay quiet for the evening as temperatures drop through the upper and middle 70s. For areas along and north of US 54, there is a chance you could be clipped by a few of those t-storms. Even though those will mainly stay to our north this evening, we’ll still keep a close eye on those storms.
While the evening for most will stay dry, that will change quite a bit as we head into the overnight. As the cold front begins to shift to the southeast, that will force the strong to severe t-storms to work into our area. We’ll be watching the overnight hours closely for severe t-storms with high wind, large hail and heavy rain being the main threats as we work into Friday morning.
We’ll be set for a loud night with these t-storms working in from the north as temperatures continue to drop into the lower to middle 60s by early Friday morning.
Plan on at least having the rain gear handy as we’ll still have these strong t-storms with mainly heavy rainfall continue as our Friday morning lows start out in the lower 60s across the area.
We’ll hold onto some t-storm chances through the morning as the main t-storm chances shift to our south. As we start to trend a bit calmer and a bit brighter by lunchtime, we should see temperatures pushing into the upper 60s to start the afternoon out.
Even with skies staying mostly cloudy for Friday afternoon, we should get a break in our rain chances. That should allow afternoon highs to only climb into the lower 70s as we start the weekend out.
However, the front will still be around as we work into Friday evening. We’ll continue to watch the front for additional rain and t-storm chances to take us into Friday night and early Saturday morning.
With us still ahead of the cold front for Saturday, we’ll get a break to start the day out before we could see additional strong to severe t-storms for Saturday afternoon. We’ll at least take the mild/warm temperatures for the day as we’ll have highs back in the middle 70s across much of the area.
Sticking with Doug’s pattern, we’ll be looking at a fantastic Sunday with partly sunny skies with highs in the middle 70s. Quiet skies stick with us for Monday and Tuesday before we pick things up again by the middle of next week. A few t-storms will be possible on Wednesday before a low severe threat returns for Thursday. Next weekend is Memorial Day weekend with scattered t-storms on Friday and a low severe threat to watch for that Saturday and Sunday.
Like clockwork each year, we’ll have to contend with t-storm chances and a low to moderate severe threat for Memorial Day. After that, the moderate threat wants to stick with us through the 27th before we start to calm things down as we head into June. For the long range forecast, Doug has you covered through the 4th of July down below.
Have a good night and a great Friday!
Long range forecast into the middle of June:
Next Saturday: Well stay warm for Saturday with highs back into the lower 80s. However, we’ll have t-storm chances and a low severe threat to keep an eye on.
May 24th-30th: Scattered thunderstorms with several waves from Sunday through Wednesday. Severe threat each day with warm temperatures. The highest severe threat will be on Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday.
May 31st-June 6th: Mainly a hot week and mainly dry. Chances for showers and thunderstorms on Friday with a low severe threat.
June 7th-13th: A hot start with warm temperatures the second half of the week. Thunderstorms on Tuesday, Friday and Saturday with a severe threat each of those day.
June 14th-20th: Mainly a warm week with scattered thunderstorms on Sunday. Scattered thunderstorms with our next system on Tuesday. Then scattered thunderstorms from Thursday through Saturday. Severe threats Tuesday, Thursday and Friday.
June 21st-27th: Warm on Sunday, Monday and Tuesday and mainly dry. Thunderstorm chances on Wednesday and Thursday with hot temperatures. Some of those could be strong to severe. Warm and dry heading into the weekend.
June 28th-July 4th: A hot start to the week with thunderstorm chances on Tuesday and Wednesday. Some of those could be severe on Wednesday. Warm on Thursday and Friday but hot temps back in for the 4th. Also, thunderstorm chances on the 4th.
July 5th-11th: A warm to hot week with slight chances for storms on Wednesday. Better chances for scattered storms on Friday and Saturday.