Latest updated blog – Staying quiet & mild again – Nick

Watching returning rain chances in the forecast

Good late Monday evening, everyone. As advertised, we saw mild temperatures return today. With drier air back in and a good southwest breeze during the day, though, we saw the numbers jump up quite a bit after our cold start this morning. On the heels of our chilly end to the weekend, we had our day start out in the upper 30s before we climbed back into the middle to upper 60s this afternoon.


Breaking down our weather setup, we do note an area of high pressure still passing to our south. That was the primary driver for our south and southwest wind that warmed us up today. To the north, a cold front is bringing some rain and snow for parts of the Great Lakes and parts of New England. While it looks like that front will sneak in tomorrow from the north, it’ll actually stay away as we continue on through the week.


If you want to know where our next front on the way is, you’ll have to look out in to the Pacific off the West Coast. That next front has a lot of real estate to traverse before it works into our area in the extended forecast.


We’ll see that front head our way once we get the upper-level low out of the Gulf of Alaska and into the Lower 48. Until that happens, our weather setup will be controlled by the upper-level ridge working out of the Rockies and into the center of the country.


Before the upper-level ridge can bring another mild day back our way, dry air is working together with mostly clear skies and a light breeze to bring us back to another cold night and Tuesday morning. We’ll see overnight lows across the area bottom out in the upper 30s.


Even with a light southeast breeze, the mostly sunny skies and the dry air in place means we’ll be more than ready to warm back up throughout the day. After we start Tuesday afternoon out with temperatures around 60° by lunchtime, we’ll have everyone bounce back into the middle 60s for highs.


Through the middle of the week and into Friday, the main driver for our weather will be the upper-level ridge. Even as it slides overhead on Wednesday and to the east of us by Friday, this setup will keep us mild and dry. This setup will push us into the upper 60s for Wednesday and the lower 70s for Thursday and Friday.


Once we hit Saturday, that’s when the upper-low coming out of the Gulf of Alaska will start to bring the cold front off the West Coast in our direction. While we could see rain chances with this system begin as early as Saturday afternoon, we’re seeing the rain chances focusing on Saturday night and into Sunday morning.


On top of that, the passing cold front will send us from early morning highs in the lower to middle 60s on Sunday to a cool afternoon as temperatures drop into the 40s. Once that system clears out, we’ll get a little break in the action on Monday under mostly sunny skies. It will be a chilly Monday, though, with highs topping out around 50°. Off to the west, we’ll watch for another wave that’ll try to bring rain chances back in for late Monday night and Tuesday.


If you’re curious as to how we look for the rest of Thanksgiving Week, the rest of the month and early December, Doug has your long range forecast down below. Have a good night and a great Tuesday!


November 24th-28th:  Another quick wave swings by with rain chances for Tuesday. A break on Wednesday before another system brings rain chances back in for Thanksgiving and Black Friday.  Looking to stay mainly cool to chilly for the rest of the week.

November 29th-December 5th:  Mainly a cool week with rain chances on Monday and Tuesday.  Then again by Friday and Saturday that could mix with some snow.

December 6th-12th:  A mild start but a cold finish with rain chances on Tuesday.   Turning much colder with rain and snow chances from Thursday through Saturday.