Latest updated blog – Staying nice and warm for Tuesday – Nick

Watching additional rain chances later on this week

Good late Monday evening, everyone. Today brought quite a change after our hot and humid weekend wrapped up the other day. Thanks to our cold front that passed through as advertised, we had some scattered t-storms develop late last night and better chances work through this morning. Once the last of the rain chances cleared out this afternoon, we were able to enjoy a dry afternoon after the area saw about half an inch of rain on average. Needless to say, areas that saw heavier pockets of rain had rain amounts push almost up to 2 inches before the rain chances moved on.


In addition to it bringing rain and t-storm chances our way, the cold front certainly lived up to its name. After we saw highs in the lower to middle 90s on Sunday, our temperature journey throughout today turned out to be a bit of an interesting one. We started the day with midnight highs around 82°. Once the front and the t-storm chances worked into Joplin, temperatures dropped to 63° by 7 AM. Once the rain chances cleared out, the mostly sunny skies started arriving a bit sooner than expected. That’s why we had afternoon temperatures in Joplin bounce back into the middle 70s.


Looking at our weather setup, it’s looking good for the overnight and for our Tuesday. At the surface, our cold front continues its march to the east and southeast. Along and ahead of the front, showers and t-storms will continue to move along from New England down to the Gulf Coast. Behind the front, we have a little area of high pressure keeping our skies quiet for tonight and Tuesday.


Upstairs at the jet stream level, we have a setup that seems pretty hard to come by this late in the month of June. After spending last week under the upper-level ridge, it has been forced back near the Mexican border around Arizona and New Mexico. With no other systems immediately on the way and us on the cooler side of the jet, we’re looking at a pretty great Tuesday.


With dry air behind the cold front working together with mostly clear skies and a light breeze, it will be a chilly start for our Tuesday morning. It wouldn’t hurt to have a light jacket handy before you head out the door as lows will drop back into the lower to middle 50s. It’s also worth noting that the record low for Joplin on Tuesday is 53°. While Joplin may come close to matching the record, some outlying areas could see temperatures drop as low as 51° before we hit sunrise.


Those same conditions will lead to a quick warm up throughout the morning and into Tuesday afternoon. We’ll quickly climb into the lower 70s by 10 AM before we hit the middle 70s by the noon hour. Even though it will be a warm afternoon with most spots topping out around 81°, the low dew points and low humidity will make it feel nice for any outdoor plans.


Looking ahead to Wednesday, the upper-level ridge will start to slide back into the Southern Plains over the state of Texas. For us, we’ll stay on the milder side of the jet with partly sunny skies across the area. That will take us from lows around 60° Wednesday morning to highs back in the middle 80s for Wednesday afternoon.


The ridge strengthens just enough to sneak back in here and push highs back in the lower 90s for Thursday and Friday. While we can’t rule out a few isolated t-storms for Thursday afternoon, we’ll watch for a stronger storm system start to work in on Friday. An upper-level low coming out of the Dakotas will force another frontal system our way as we head through the weekend. That’s when mostly cloudy skies and better chances for scattered t-storms will work in.


The jet stream setup you see below for Sunday shows how our weather will fare as we go through both Saturday and Sunday. This upper-level low will keep the frontal system around for both days and keep t-storm chances in the forecast. This will serve to bring temperatures back down into the middle 80s for Saturday and Sunday afternoon.


Sticking with Doug’s pattern, we’ll have some scattered t-storm chances stick with us for Monday. However, the 80s will stick with us as well as a new work week gets going. Doug has you covered with his long range forecast out through the middle of July down below. Have a good night and a great Tuesday!


June 29th-July 3rd:  A warm start to the week but then just hot and humid.  We’ll watch for t-storm chance to return by Thursday into the holiday weekend.

July 4th-10th:  A hot and humid week with thunderstorm chances on the 4th and 5th, then again late in the week and into the weekend.

July 11th- 17th:  A little cooler to start the week with scattered thunderstorms on Sunday.  A hot middle and then warm end to the week.  Thunderstorms back in the weekend of the 17th.