Latest updated blog – Staying mild for Wednesday – Nick

More rain & t-storm chances lining up

Good late Tuesday evening, everyone. Sure enough, our storm system changed things up quite a bit compared to the weather we had on Monday. After a warm start to the work/school week, temperatures turned sharply cooler. While we did see an early morning high of 60°, a good portion of the area spent much of the day in the 50s. As the skies cleared, we did see Joplin jump back into the upper 50s and the rest of the region pushed back into the upper 50s and lower 60s.


It was a good thing this system cleared out because we saw quite a bit of rainfall stack up when nobody was clamoring for it. With this system, we picked up 0.7″ on average while the heavier amounts popped up along and south of I-44.


Looking at our weather setup, the front that worked through yesterday and kept any severe weather just to our south has moved off to our east. While the warm side of that system spawned more severe weather across parts of the Deep South and Southeast, we’re getting a chance to dry out before another quick system from the west rolls in.


Whether you look at our next system at the surface or in the upper levels, it’s quite a disorganized system. In the upper levels, you’ll barely notice a kink in the jet over Idaho, Utah, Wyoming and Colorado. That’s the next system to work in here pretty soon.


In the meantime, it’ll be nice to keep dry and quiet for tonight under mostly clear skies. However, the mostly clear skies will interact with the moisture on the ground and a light breeze to allow for some patchy fog to develop overnight. Otherwise, it’ll be quite cool to start Wednesday morning out as lows drop back near 40° across the area.


Once we get past our cool start in the morning, we’ll enjoy mostly sunny skies through the morning. Even with some partly sunny skies returning in the afternoon, a continued light breeze will allow highs to climb back into the upper 60s across the area. The partly sunny skies will work in as our next system rolls in as well. While this could also lead to a few showers late in the day, they’ll be very spotty in nature and light. Most of us will be dry throughout the day.


This wave will keep skies partly cloudy as we go through Wednesday night and into Thursday morning. Also, this will be the time frame for this storm system to give us scattered showers. Even so, they’ll be scattered and we won’t see anything strong. It’ll be another cool start for our Thursday with lows in the middle to upper 40s.


With the wave moving through quickly, any rain chances we have will clear out once we get into late Thursday morning and certainly by the afternoon. With partly to mostly sunny skies, we’ll stay mild for Thursday with highs mainly in the upper 60s.


Looking into the weekend, we’ll have another storm system start to approach on Friday. While we’ll watch an approaching warm front work in Friday afternoon with some isolated t-storms possible, we’ll stay mild with highs around 70°.


Continuing into Saturday, the warm front will lift to our north and make sure that we have a warm Saturday afternoon with highs in the upper 70s. In the warm sector, we’ll watch for some scattered t-storms during the afternoon and into the evening. Some of those could be strong to severe.


With this storm system, the better shot for t-storms and some severe weather will come through Saturday night and into Sunday morning. While we’ll start Mother’s Day out with t-storm chances, we’ll dry out for the late morning hours and for Sunday afternoon. We’ll see highs in the middle 60s under mostly cloudy skies.


We’ll stay mild but below normal for early next week with highs in the lower 60s for Monday and Tuesday. However, we’ll have to keep rain chances in the forecast as another upper-level wave in the Rockies wants to send additional energy our way. While that keeps scattered t-storms in the forecast, it doesn’t appear as though they’ll be severe. Since it’s that time of the year, though, we’ll keep an eye on those t-storm chances as well.


If you’re curious about how we look for the rest of May and much of June, Doug has you covered with his long range forecast down below. Have a good night and a great Wednesday!



May 12th-May 15th:  We’ll deal with some showers on Wednesday before another severe threat returns on Friday. Mild temperatures for Tuesday and Wednesday before we warm back up for the weekend.

May 16th-May 22nd: We’ll we warm for Sunday through Tuesday before mild temperatures take hold for the rest of the week. We’ll watch for a severe threat for Sunday, Monday and Tuesday before we deal with a slight chance for rain on Wednesday. Another severe threat returns on Thursday. After some scattered t-storms on Friday, we’ll enjoy a quiet Saturday.

May 23rd-May 29th: We’ll stay warm for Sunday and Monday. After a mild stretch Tuesday through Thursday, we’ll warm up again in time for the weekend. We’ll be keeping an eye on a severe threat for Sunday and Monday before we back down to scattered t-storms on Tuesday and showers for Wednesday. After a quiet Thursday, we’ll watch for another severe threat on Friday and scattered t-storms on Saturday.

May 30th-June 5th: Warm temperatures will be around from Sunday through Tuesday before we turn mild for the middle of the week. We’re looking at a warm Friday before we turn mild again on Saturday. We’ll watch for a severe threat for Sunday, Memorial Day and Tuesday. Once we get past a dry Wednesday and Thursday, we’ll watch for t-storms on Friday and rain chances on Saturday.

June 6th-June 12th: Temperatures look mild for Sunday before we turn warmer for Monday & Tuesday. After a mild Wednesday, we’ll be warm for Thursday before we heat up for the weekend. We’ll watch for t-storms on Monday and Tuesday before a severe threat returns on Saturday.

June 13th-June 19th: With the exception of a mild Friday, we’ll mainly be warm for this week. We’ll watch for rain chances on Sunday, t-storms on Tuesday, strong to severe t-storms on Wednesday and another shot for t-storms on Thursday.

June 20th-June 26th: The week starts hot before we back down to warm temperatures for Wednesday through Friday. We should turn hot again for Saturday. We’ll watch for t-storm chances on Tuesday and Thursday.