Latest updated blog – Starting to warm up for Monday – Nick

Couple systems to watch this week

Good late Sunday night and early Monday morning, everyone. We just wrapped up another weekend across the region and we had to end it on yet another cold note. Temperatures actually struggled, for most, to match what we saw for afternoon highs back on Saturday. On the heels of middle 30s for highs on Saturday, we started Sunday morning out quite cold with upper teens to middle 20s across the region. If you were like Joplin and saw mostly cloudy skies for much of the day, we could only handle lower to middle 30s for Sunday afternoon. Some areas northwest of Joplin did see more sunshine on Sunday and saw their highs climb into the upper 30s before we hit sunset.


Our surface setup shows high pressure working across the Central and Southern Plains. That is what’s keeping us quiet and cold with the northwest breeze in place while a low pressure system working across the northern Gulf of Mexico continues with rain and snow across the Deep South.


Upstairs at the jet stream level, we’re still seeing the upper low with that storm system passing over the Oklahoma/Texas line. Both that low and another weak upper low passing near Chicago kept us cold once again with cloud cover to go along with it. Starting on our Monday, both of these will move on and allow the upper-level ridge out west to start pushing the jet stream back in our direction. That will lead to a bump up in our temperatures as the new work/school week gets started.


For our Monday morning, it’s another battle between partly cloudy and mostly cloudy skies. Still, it will be a cold start with a northwest breeze at 5 mph keeping temperatures in the lower to middle 20s before sunrise.


Continuing throughout the day, we expect partly sunny skies to take control. Couple that with a westerly breeze at 5-10 mph that should start to bring in a little bit more milder air, we will see that result in a bump in temperatures. We’re expecting afternoon highs to top out right around 40 in most locations. It’s even possible that with some mostly sunny skies later on Monday, some of our far western communities could push into the lower to middle 40s before the day is all said and done.


Temperatures will only continue to trend upward as we see the setup by Wednesday take hold. With the jet stream still set to lift to our northeast on Tuesday and Wednesday, we’ll have highs back around 50 under mostly sunny skies on Tuesday and into the middle 50s for Wednesday afternoon. Those will be days to take advantage of and enjoy some time outside.


We say that because we’re keeping an eye on an upper-level storm system planning on working across the Upper Midwest and entering the Great Lakes on Thursday. While first impressions say any action with that will stay well to our northeast, this will force a cold front our way and try to fire up a few showers late Thursday afternoon and into early Thursday evening.


Even if we don’t get any slight rain chances out of that system for Thursday, its main job will be to send us back into the cooler for Friday as highs want to drop back near 40 for Friday afternoon. Frankly, that isn’t the only system we’ll be keeping an eye on. By Saturday, we’ll have another frontal system to watch out to our west and an upper-level trough that will come at us from the northwest. First impressions here show this starting off as a few rain and snow showers. I say rain and snow showers late Saturday afternoon because even though we’ll have highs in the upper 30s, temperatures upstairs will be below freezing. That means we’ll start off any precipitation chances as rain late Saturday afternoon before it wants to turn into a mix of rain and snow for Saturday evening.


If this forecast remains on track and sticks with Doug’s pattern, we’ll have a chance to see periods of scattered snow late Saturday night and into Sunday morning. If nothing else, this future frontal system and upper-level trough will only enforce temperatures to stay cold throughout the course of the upcoming weekend. Plenty can still change over the next several days. We’ll continue to watch this potential setup for the upcoming weekend.


If you’re curious as to how we look for the rest of January and much of February, Doug has you covered with his long range forecast down below.

Have a good night and a great Monday!


Next Monday-Saturday:  A cold first half of the week with mild temperatures the second half of the week.  Rain and snow chances on Sunday, Monday and into Tuesday.  Rain chances back in by Friday and Saturday.

January 24th-30th:  A mild start with rain on Monday, then turning colder with rain, snow or ice by Tuesday.  Staying cold the rest of the week with snow chances on Thursday.

January 31st-February 6th:  A cold start to the week with slight chances for rain or snow on Sunday.  The rest of the week dry with mild temperatures the second half of the week.

February 7th-13th:  A mild start with rain on Monday.  Cooling down the rest of the week with rain or snow on Wednesday and slight rain chances on Friday.

February 14th-20th:  Cold the first half of the week with rain chances Sunday, rain or snow chances on Monday.  Then weak system with snow showers on Tuesday and Wednesday.  Warming back up late in the week