Latest updated blog – Rain chances back in tonight – Nick

With other systems to watch later on this week

Good Monday evening, everyone. For the most part, we kept our Monday dry across the area. We all had to start the day off on a cool note with lows middle to upper 40s before we warmed into the upper 60s for highs late this morning and into the afternoon. While we stayed dry for most of the day, we did see the cloud cover pick up. As we got the evening underway, the cloud cover finally gave way to areas of rain working in from the west and south. These rain chances will stick with us through the night and into Tuesday morning. If you’re trying to figure out when the best time to get outside would be on Tuesday, we’ll have tonight’s rain carry on into the morning. Lows will drop back into the upper 40s, but we will see highs climb back into the lower 60s as the rain clears out for Tuesday afternoon.


There are two factors leading to our rain for tonight and the first part of your Tuesday. One factor is the surface low passing to our south. While the better chances for t-storms will stay to our south along the warm and cold front, we’re close enough to the surface low to have it pull moisture our way.


On top of that, we have our upper level wave working across the state of Kansas this evening. That’s providing the main lift to keep our rain chances going through the night and into Tuesday. In addition, we’re watching another upper level wave coming into the Pacific Northwest and southwest Canada.


With our first upper level wave passing overhead and a surface low passing to our south, plan on some moderate to heavy rain across the area for the rest of the late evening and into the night.


Once we get into the early morning hours on Tuesday, the moderate to heavy rain will back off to scattered light rain across the area. Cloudy skies will stay on top and we’ll see temperatures continue to slowly drop back.


The scattered light rain will continue around sunrise Tuesday as morning lows drop back into the upper 40s.


The day may start off with some scattered rain under mostly cloudy skies, but it won’t stay cloudy and rainy all day. The upper level wave will continue to march to the east throughout the day. As it does, the rain chances clear out late Tuesday morning and we’ll even see skies turn partly sunny for the afternoon. With some afternoon sun planning to return, we’ll make the most of it and send afternoon highs back into the lower 60s.


In fact, Tuesday afternoon will be the start of another break in between our rain chances this week. Skies will turn mostly clear as we head toward another cool start for your Wednesday morning. With a south wind back in action under partly sunny skies, we’ll quickly warm back up to about 70 for afternoon highs on Wednesday.


Remember that upper level wave near southwest Canada and the Pacific Northwest? That will put an end to the midweek dry spell as we work into Thursday. That wave will send in additional rain and t-storms as we head into Thursday and Friday.


How’s the rest of the weekend looking? After a cold start Saturday morning, we’ll have partly sunny skies ready to send highs back into the lower 60s. Next Sunday and next Monday have temperatures on a warming trend. As that warming trend continues, though, we’ll see additional rain and t-storm chances work into the area as the new week gets underway. Don’t forget that Doug has your long range forecast out into the middle of May down below.

Have a good night and a great Tuesday!


Long range forecast into the middle of May:

Next Week:  Tuesday and Wednesday will stay mild with a few scattered t-storms possible.  A bigger system roll in on Thursday and Friday with better chances for thunderstorms.  Some of those could be strong to severe.  Cooling down for the weekend.

April 11th-18th:  A cool start with showers on Sunday.  Mild temperatures return with a slight chance for storms on Tuesday.  Be chances for scattered storms late in the week.

April 19th-25th:  Mainly a mild with with thunderstorms on Sunday and then back in on Wednesday and Thursday.  Cooler to end the week.

April 26th-May 2nd:  A mild week with thunderstorms on Tuesday and then slight chances for storm on Saturday.

May 3rd-9th:  A cool start but warming up through the week.  Thunderstorms on Thursday and again by the weekend.

May 10th-16th:  A warm start to the week with thunderstorms on Sunday and Monday, and then again on Wednesday.  However, the rest of the week looks good.