Latest updated blog – Quite a warm week ahead of us – Nick
Some rain and t-storm chances also on the way
Good Saturday evening, everyone. Before the weekend got underway, we had to start Thursday and Friday mornings with some fairly dense fog across portions of the area. While that led to chilly starts for each of those days, we thankfully saw temperatures rebound into the middle 60s on Thursday and and the middle 70s yesterday. For today, we didn’t have to deal any fog this morning. Once we got past another chilly start, we saw highs bounce near 80° across the entire area.
To wrap up the weekend on your Sunday, we’ll have another chilly start before we warm back up once again. If you notice the welcome mat, though, we may have a few early morning showers work in before the day truly gets started.
For our Saturday, we had passing cloud cover work in from the north as a wave works out of the Central Plains. That wave isn’t caused by the high pressure at the surface. That’s what kept our breeze light and out of the east throughout the day.
The wave that brought some rain chances today across southeastern Nebraska, northeastern Kansas, northern Missouri and southern Iowa is actually an upper level wave riding along the northwest flow of the jet stream. We’ll get this wave out of the picture quickly on your Sunday before we see our upper level ridge out west build in and start to warm us up.
With this wave still in the picture for Sunday morning, we’ll keep some cloud cover in the forecast as it will continue to come in from the northwest through the night. Plus, we’ll even see a few showers try to develop to the north of the area as we fall back into the lower 60s.
By sunrise, most spots will start a bit chilly once again with lows in the upper 50s to near 60°. Any chance for a few random showers for us will be confined to our far northern counties (along and north of US 54).
The rest of the morning will be dry for us with any rain chances with our passing wave staying mainly to our north. As our wind begins to shift out of the southeast by late morning and toward lunch time, that will work together with partly sunny skies to bring temperatures into the upper 70s to start the afternoon out.
We’ll have another nice afternoon lined up for us with a light southeast breeze and partly sunny skies. That setup will bring us back into another warm afternoon as highs will climb back into the lower 80s across the area.
Heading into June on Monday, we’ll start mild with lows in the lower to middle 60s with partly cloudy skies in the morning. Monday afternoon is looking great once again with partly sunny skies and highs pushing closer to the middle 80s.
Our weather for the week ahead will be primarily driven by the upper level ridge working in from the west. It’ll drive our warm and quiet Monday and continue for Tuesday. The exception for Tuesday will be a weak wave riding along the ridge and clipping us with a few isolated t-storms for Tuesday afternoon.
With the upper level ridge maintaining control through the middle of the week, we’ll have highs continue to push well into the upper 80s. With this setup, highs near 90° by next weekend isn’t out of the question.
Despite our warming trend set to continue, we’ll have to watch for a few upper level waves that want to come out of the west and ride along the edge of the ridge. Two waves will come close to us Wednesday through Friday and bring in at least scattered t-storm chances into the area.
The return of this upper-level setup isn’t surprising. We usually see this setup of a returning upper-level ridge with warming temperatures and some t-storms chances through a portion of the week make its way back around when we go into June. Much of June will look like this each week before we get into some more heat as we work into July. To see how we look through the month of June and early July, Doug has you covered with his long range forecast down below.
Have a good night and a great Sunday!
Long range forecast through early July:
Next Saturday: Warm with pop-up storms.
June 7th-13th: Mainly a warm week with hot temperatures working in late in the week. We will have pop-up storms on Tuesday and Wednesday, then scattered more widespread thunderstorms on Thursday and Friday.
June 14th-20th: Warm temperatures through Wednesday before we heat up by the end of the week. T-storm chances for Sunday, Tuesday, Thursday, Friday and Saturday. We’ll watch for a low severe threat on Tuesday, Thursday and Friday.
June 21st-27th: Warm for most of the week. A few hot days want to squeak in for Wednesday and Thursday. T-storm chances on Sunday, Wednesday, Thursday and Friday. A low severe threat is possible for Thursday.
June 28th-July 4th: A hot start to the week with thunderstorm chances on Tuesday and Wednesday. Some of those could be severe on Wednesday. Warm on Thursday and Friday but hot temps back in for the 4th. Also, thunderstorm chances on the 4th.
July 5th-11th: A warm to hot week with slight chances for storms on Wednesday. Better chances for scattered storms on Friday and Saturday.