Latest updated blog – Nice start to the work/school week – Nick

Interesting changes by the end of the week

Good Sunday evening, everyone. While it was nice that we stayed quiet for today, we still found ourselves on the backside of our last storm system. That kept us in the clouds for today and definitely had an impact on temperatures across the region. After Joplin Regional saw highs in the middle 50s Saturday afternoon, we dropped to midnight highs around 40 and into the middle 30s for this morning. After that, the clouds only allowed temperatures to inch back into the upper 30s during the afternoon.


Breaking down our surface map, we have the back edge of the cloud cover working across southeast Kansas. The clouds will be departing through our Monday as our last storm system continues its journey across the Mid-Atlantic and the Northeast. For the next few days, we’ll have an area of high pressure coming out of the Central Plains to keep us quiet. While that’s happening, we’ll keep an eye on a few fronts to our west and northwest.


Upstairs at the jet stream level, the upper-level low that passed through here continues to venture across the Great Lakes and into the Northeast. While we get to enjoy an upper-level ridge sliding in from the Rockies, we’ll keep an eye on the upper low in the Pacific and another future low that will develop in southwest Canada over the next few days.


Even though we’ll stay mostly cloudy during the overnight and into Monday morning, the clouds will prevent us from turning too cold across the area. Still, we’ll have lows dropping back into the upper 20s with a northwest wind at 5-15 (some gusts near 25) in place.


Our Monday will be all about the cloud cover from today clearing on out. The main sticking point will be how fast the clouds will clear out. We’re expecting partly sunny skies by late morning and lunchtime with mostly sunny skies to follow for the afternoon. If this plays out, we’ll push to 37 by noon and top out around 43. If the clouds clear out faster, we could make a run for the middle 40s. If the clouds take their time to clear out, we’ll stay in the lower 40s for the afternoon.


While we stay quiet for Monday night and Tuesday morning, we’ll have another batch of partly cloudy skies rolling in. With a light east breeze in place, this should allow lows to drop back into the upper 20s once again across the region.


With a southerly wind eager to return for Tuesday under partly to mostly sunny skies, we’ll see highs for Tuesday afternoon top out in the lower 50s across the area.


The ridge will pass over the region on Wednesday. This will keep us quiet under partly sunny to mostly cloudy skies and highs back into the middle 50s.


By Thursday, the upper low working across the Desert Southwest and a wave to our north will start to make their move to the east. The wave to the north will clip us with some scattered showers on Thursday. Otherwise, we’ll have early afternoon highs around 60 before a cold front cools us down during the afternoon.


As we turn to Friday, we turn to the upper low coming out of the Desert Southwest. As temperatures turn colder for Friday, we’ll watch for this wave to bring in the chance for scattered snow showers for the morning. While we could dry out for the day, we’ll stick with mostly cloudy skies and highs in the lower 40s.


For Saturday, a strong upper-level low coming out of Canada wants to try and bring a quick wave through the region. Indications stick with Doug’s pattern here, so we’ll watch for the chance for scattered snow showers as we see early highs in the middle 30s on Saturday. Once this wave passes, you can see how much colder we’ll start turning as the jet sinks well to our south.


In fact, look at the jet setup for Sunday. This is looking like a classic setup for Arctic air to sink in for Super Bowl Sunday. Early indications show morning lows on Sunday dropping into the lower to middle teens before we only top out in the middle 2os under partly sunny skies. It wouldn’t be surprising if some single digit temperatures popped up before sunrise Sunday morning.


Doug has your long range forecast all spelled out for you through the middle of March down below.

Have a good night and a great Monday!


February 7th-13th:  A cold start to the week with slight chances for rain or snow on Monday.  Staying cool through the week with rain and snow chances on Wednesday and Thursday.  Also snow chances by Saturday.

February 14th-20th:  A cool first half of the week with mild temperatures for the second half.  Rain and snow chances on Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday.  Mainly dry the rest of the week.

February 21st-27th: I see two systems for this week. One wave will bring in slight rain chances for Sunday and rain chances for Monday. Another wave will bring in slight snow chances for Thursday and Friday. We’ll go from a mild Sunday to a cooler Monday and Tuesday. Wednesday, Thursday and Friday look cold before we head back into cool territory on Saturday.

February 28th-March 6th: After a dry and cool Sunday, we’ll see a wave work in for Monday and Tuesday. With mild temperatures on Monday and colder temperatures for Tuesday, we’ll watch for rain chances on Monday and snow chances on Tuesday. Wednesday stays quiet and cold before another wave brings in slight snow chances for Thursday and Friday. Saturday is looking dry as we start turning milder once again.

March 7th-13th:  A cool start to the week with some showers on Sunday and Monday.  Warming up the second half of the week with rain on Thursday and Friday.

March 14th-20th:  Rain or snow chances on Sunday.  Cool on Sunday and Monday with mild temperatures the rest of the week.  Rain chances back in on Wednesday.