Latest updated blog – Getting a bit active over the next several days – Nick

With temperatures ready to cool back down
Thuplanner

Good late Wednesday evening, everyone. For a Wednesday in the middle of January, this day turned out to be pretty good. After we got past a cold start this morning in the lower 30s, we saw our temperatures turn out a bit warmer compared to our highs near 50 yesterday. With mostly sunny skies and a southwest wind at 10-20 mph, we saw the afternoon high at Joplin Regional top out around 55 degrees. This is certainly nicer compared to the January 13th we had 14 years ago when we had to put up with that beast of an ice storm across much of the region.

36hrtrend

While no ice storms are in the forecast over the next several days, we’re ready to see quite a few systems pass on through and change our weather up. The surface setup below shows that while we do have the high pressure in the Gulf of Mexico that gave us the nice temperatures today with that southwest wind, it’s also a southwest wind ahead of our next cold front ready to work in from the northwest.

Surfacesetup

Not only do we have the cold front at the surface looking to change things up, the upper-level low that was out in the Gulf of Alaska to start the week out found its way around the upper-level ridge out to our west and is ready to work across the Northern Plains and the Upper Midwest.

Jetsetup

For Thursday, it’s all about the cold front changing things up as it works on through during the morning hours. Skies will turn mostly cloudy as it works on through. While it will drop us back into the upper 30s, some moisture with this front will be present to bring the chance for a few showers in to start the morning out.

Thuam

As the front continues to move off to the southeast, we’ll have our mostly cloudy skies in the morning turn partly sunny for the afternoon. While we do see our rain chances move on by the lunch hour, the northwest wind at 15-25 mph behind the front will bring cooler air back in. We’ll expect highs in the upper 40s for the afternoon ahead of us.

Thuaftn

While the cold front moves on, the upper-level wave isn’t done impacting our weather setup. As we get the weekend going, the low will find itself working through the Great Lakes and parts of the Ohio River Valley.

Fridaywave

Not only will it lead to a cold Friday to get the weekend started, some more moisture plans on stopping by in parts of the area. For Friday morning, we’ll see mostly cloudy skies and a few snow showers try to sneak into our northern counties as lows drop back into the lower 30s.

Fridayam

As we work through the rest of our Friday, we’ll hold on to cloudy skies as the moisture keeps rotating around the upper low and clipping our area. This means scattered light snow showers throughout the day with highs only topping out in the middle 30s across much of the region.

Fridayaftn

For now, any expected accumulations with Friday’s snow is looking minor. While our latest look at this system suggests a dusting to an inch of total snow for Friday for areas along and east of US 69, it’s something we’ll continue to watch and adjust as necessary.

Snowfriday

While that wave moves on as we work into Saturday, another upper-level wave on its heels will swing in late Saturday and into Sunday. After a quiet Saturday morning and a quiet Saturday afternoon, this wave will keep highs in the lower 40s for Saturday and Sunday while this wants to bring in the chance for a few snow showers Saturday evening and into Sunday morning.

Sundaywave

Once this wave moves on, the jet stream setup is setting up to where we’ll have fast moving weak waves ready to come at us from the west. This will lead to scattered rain chances on Monday as highs bounce back into the lower 50s. Once this wave leaves us with a few showers Tuesday morning, we’ll see highs top out in the upper 40s on Tuesday before another shot for a few showers sneaks in with a fast wave on Wednesday.

Nextweekwave

Looking at the rest of next week, we still have a stronger wave on the way for Thursday to keep us cool. We’ll see things dry out and even warm up a little as that weekend gets going. Sticking with Doug’s pattern, you can see that we’re still watching for a stronger storm system by the 26th, 27th and 28th. That’s still showing some potential to be an interesting storm system for us as we start wrapping January up.

Systembreakdown

Doug also has you covered with the long range forecast through the middle of February down below.

Have a good night and a great Thursday!

Nick

Next Thursday-Saturday:  We’ll stay cool with rain chances sneak back in on Thursday. The weekend starts on a dry note with a cool Friday and a mild Saturday.

January 24th-30th:  A bit more active this week. We’re mild for Sunday and Monday. Our next system will start out as slight rain chances on Monday before cooler temperatures bring a rain/snow mix in for Tuesday and Wednesday. After a cold Thursday with snow chances, we’ll dry out to start the weekend and turn cool again by Saturday.

January 31st-February 6th:  A cool start to the week with slight rain and snow chances on Sunday. The rest of the week looks dry. We’ll turn cold for Monday, cool for Tuesday and more mild for the rest of the week.

February 7th-13th:  The week starts mild with slight rain chances on Sunday and a bump up in the rain chances on Monday. We’ll stay cool for Tuesday and Wednesday with rain and snow chances on Wednesday. After a cold and quiet Thursday, another system works in with slight rain chances for Thursday. Otherwise, we’ll stay cool for Friday and turn mild again for Saturday.

February 14th-20th:  We’ll start off cool for Sunday with another storm system bringing in rain chances. Colder temperatures for Monday through Wednesday. The colder temperatures keep rain and snow chances around for Monday and Tuesday before we taper things down to slight snow chances on Wednesday.  We’ll turn cool for Thursday before we turn mild for the upcoming weekend.