Latest updated blog – Chilly for the next few days – Nick
Watching storm systems down the road
Good late Tuesday evening, everyone. As advertised, we had a quick cold front pass through yesterday evening. In its wake, we had a northwest wind back in control for today to bring highs across the region about 10 degrees cooler compared to yesterday. Compared to our highs in the middle 50s yesterday, we only topped out in the middle 40s this afternoon. Still, it was a nice rebound after we started in the middle 20s this morning.
Breaking down our surface setup below, we have a cold front immediately to our north that will stay to our north. While high pressure continues to slide into Oklahoma and Texas to bring a south wind back in for your Wednesday, we’ll watch for our next cold front to come out of western Canada. It won’t have any moisture with it, but it will make sure we start the upcoming weekend on a cool note.
Upstairs at the jet stream level, the main feature we’re continuing to watch is the upper-level low digging across southern California and the Baja Peninsula of Mexico. Even though it stays put for a few more days, some energy will break away from the low and head across the Southern Plains through our Wednesday.
Before any of that incoming upper-level energy can do anything, we’ll keep quiet for tonight as lows drop back into the upper 20. As we see our wind kick back out of the south overnight at 5-10 mph, it’ll try to bring some moisture back in overnight. If we see that result in dew points nudging closer to our temperatures, a few areas of patchy fog can’t be ruled out. Otherwise, most spots should stay mostly clear as we get our Wednesday morning started.
While the day wants to start off mostly sunny, that upper-level energy will start to increase our cloud cover throughout the day. We’ll plan on skies turning partly sunny by lunchtime and mostly cloudy by the end of the afternoon. Despite the increasing cloud cover we’re expecting, the southwest wind kick in at 10-20 mph. That should be enough to send us into the middle 40s by lunchtime and into the lower 50s for our Wednesday afternoon.
By Wednesday evening, you can see the Future Track showing some rain chances passing mainly to our south across east central Oklahoma and into Arkansas. I wouldn’t be surprised if a few showers can clip our southern counties. Overall, though, most of the area will stay on the dry side as we work into Wednesday evening and possibly during some of the overnight hours as we work into Thursday morning.
Under partly to mostly cloudy skies, we’ll start cold but not so cold for your Thursday morning. We’ll see overnight lows drop back into the upper 30s across much of the region.
Even though we’ll start the day cold with a north breeze at 5-10 mph kicking in, we’ll have partly sunny skies build back in for Thursday with highs pushing back into the middle 50s across the region.
Now, let’s turn to the weekend. While the upper low sitting out in southern California moves on for Friday, the main story will be the cold front coming out of Canada. We’ll stay dry with partly sunny skies, but we’ll see highs drop back into the middle 40s for Friday afternoon. For Saturday, we’ll keep an eye on another upper low coming out of the Pacific Northwest and work into the Desert Southwest. While some of that upper-level energy wants to start heading our way with a stray showers late Saturday afternoon and Saturday evening, we’ll stay mostly cloudy with highs in the middle to upper 40s. For Sunday, the upper low will start to bring rain chances back in as highs climb back into the middle 50s.
As this low tracks out across the Plains heading into Monday, we’ll see colder air work in as the new work/school week gets going. Sticking with Doug’s pattern, this wants to take our rain chances and turn it into a wintry mix of rain/ice/snow as we head into Monday afternoon and evening.
While that upper low moves on with some lingering snow showers possible early Tuesday, we’ll stay mostly cloudy and cool for the rest of the day before another wave out west wants to bring additional wintry weather chances in for Tuesday night and Wednesday.
You can see that it will get a bit interesting as we head through the next several days. You can see for yourself how active the rest of the month and much of February will be with Doug’s long range forecast down below.
Have a good night and a great Wednesday!
Next Wednesday-Saturday: We’ll turn cold for Wednesday with rain and snow chances around. We’ll plan on staying fairly cool and dry for Thursday and Friday before another system with rain (and possible snow) chances returning for Saturday.
January 31st-February 6th: A cool start to the week with slight rain and snow chances on Sunday. The rest of the week looks dry. We’ll turn cold for Monday, cool for Tuesday and more mild for the rest of the week.
February 7th-13th: The week starts mild with slight rain chances on Sunday and a bump up in the rain chances on Monday. We’ll stay cool for Tuesday and Wednesday with rain and snow chances on Wednesday. After a cold and quiet Thursday, another system works in with slight rain chances for Thursday. Otherwise, we’ll stay cool for Friday and turn mild again for Saturday.
February 14th-20th: We’ll start off cool for Sunday with another storm system bringing in rain chances. Colder temperatures for Monday through Wednesday. The colder temperatures keep rain and snow chances around for Monday and Tuesday before we taper things down to slight snow chances on Wednesday. We’ll turn cool for Thursday before we turn mild for the upcoming weekend.