Latest blog – Trending a bit warmer today – Nick

T-storm chances picking up for this coming weekend
Wednesdayplanner

Good Wednesday morning, everyone. Thankfully, we’re not seeing any pockets of fog or mist to start the day out. Plus, we’re at least off to a chilly start this morning and avoiding the upper 40s that we saw yesterday morning. We’ll have another day of passing cloud cover to deal with as we’ll continue to be influenced by the backside of our last storm system off to the east. We’re also watching our next system developing out in the Rocky Mountains.

Surfacesetup

The system out to our west will eventually head our way. Before it can happen, though, we have Post-Tropical Storm Arthur east of the Carolinas and the stubborn upper level low over the Tennessee Valley holding things up. After today, the upper low to our east will move on. While that does allow the upper level ridge to work in and warm us up for the upcoming holiday weekend, that will also allow the upper low out to the west to send our next system and t-storm chances our way.

Jetsetup

In the short term, we’ll stick cloud cover across the area and temperatures in the lower 50s to start our Wednesday out.

Wedam

Even with skies turning mostly cloudy and the last storm system bringing in a few showers by the afternoon, we’ll bump the thermostat up a little for the afternoon. We’re expecting highs to top out in the lower 70s across much of the area for today.

Wedaftn

For Thursday, we’ll be done with the stubborn upper level low and the last storm system off to the east. The upper level ridge clipping us and a returning southeast wind will allow temperatures to return to the middle to upper 70s for Thursday afternoon. That being said, we’ll have clouds around for Thursday with isolated t-storm chances for the afternoon with an upper level wave clipping us just to our north.

Thustorms

As we kick off the holiday weekend on Friday, we’ll hold onto increasing t-storm chances especially during the morning and early afternoon. We’ll watch these t-storms as they could be strong to severe as they work in. Despite starting Friday out with t-storms, we should see afternoon highs back in the lower 80s.

Fridaystorms

While we will have some dry time for the holiday weekend, multiple waves coming at us with our advancing front from the west will keep periods of t-storms around for Saturday and Sunday. Even with these rain chances around, temperatures will stay warm with highs in the lower to middle 80s for Saturday and Sunday. Let’s keep an eye on the t-storms for Saturday and Sunday, though. There is a chance they could be strong to severe.

Sunday

While the severe threat backs down to a low threat for Memorial Day, we’ll continue with scattered t-storms across the area as highs climb into the upper 70s.

Memorialdaystorms

Once we get past the holiday weekend, we’ll have a few t-storms possible as we stay warm on Tuesday. We’ll watch for a low severe threat on the 27th before we see another break in the action for next Thursday, Friday and Saturday. We’ll wrap up the month and head into the June with a low severe threat to watch (31st and 1st) before we see the bulk of our severe weather chances this season fade away.

4weekthreat

For the rest of Doug’s long range forecast through early July, he has you covered with his long range forecast down below.

Have a great Wednesday!

Nick

Long range forecast into the middle of July:

Next Wednesday-Saturday: A little cooler mid week but still nice.  Heating up toward the weekend.

May 31st-June 6th: A warm to hot week with thunderstorm chances on Sunday and Monday.  Thunderstorm chances return on Thursday and Friday.

June 7th-13th:  A hot start with warm temperatures the second half of the week.  Thunderstorms on Tuesday, Friday and Saturday with a severe threat each of those day.

June 14th-20th:  Mainly a warm week with scattered thunderstorms on Sunday.  Scattered thunderstorms with our next system on Tuesday.  Then scattered thunderstorms from Thursday through Saturday.  Severe threats Tuesday, Thursday and Friday.

June 21st-27th:  Warm on Sunday, Monday and Tuesday and mainly dry.  Thunderstorm chances on Wednesday and Thursday  with hot temperatures.  Some of those could be strong to severe.  Warm and dry heading into the weekend.

June 28th-July 4th:  A hot start to the week with thunderstorm chances on Tuesday and Wednesday.  Some of those could be severe on Wednesday.  Warm on Thursday and Friday but hot temps back in for the 4th.  Also, thunderstorm chances on the 4th.

July 5th-11th:  A warm to hot week with slight chances for storms on Wednesday.  Better chances for scattered storms on Friday and Saturday.

#headypattern

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