Keeping warm for Wednesday – Nick

Short lived cooldown before the heat returns this weekend
Wedplanner

Good late Tuesday evening/early Wednesday morning, everyone. Our Tuesday started out on a quiet and mild note before our cold front started to enter the picture. After we started out in the lower 70s Tuesday morning, we saw highs push into the lower 90s across the region. Fortunately, that is a bit of an improvement from our highs in the middle 90s back on Monday.

36hrtrend

Breaking down our weather setup, our cold front is pushing through the region. You can see how it stretches from the Rocky Mountains up to the Great Lakes to our northeast. This was the focal point for scattered showers and t-storms that started to develop late Tuesday afternoon and into the evening.

Surfacemap

Upstairs at the jet stream level, the focus has been on an upper-level wave working across the Central and Northern Plains. With the jet stream sinking back over the region, the wave also worked across the state of Kansas. That helped spark strong to severe t-storms across parts of southwestern and south-central Kansas late Tuesday afternoon and into the evening. It still has to pass through here before we see things clear out by this coming Wednesday afternoon.

Jetsetup

We’re finally seeing the area of rain and t-storms work away from the Wichita area and push into a good portion of the area. With this cluster of rain and t-storms (along with other additional scattered showers and t-storms for the rest of the overnight), these could be strong with some moderate to heavy rainfall. Thankfully, though, we aren’t expecting anything severe with this activity.

Wed2am

With these rain chances sticking around to start the morning out and the passing front working through, the shifting wind out of the east and northeast will send our Wednesday morning lows in the upper 60s.

Wed6am

The rain chances for our Wednesday will only last during the morning hours. Before the rain chances clear out, expected rain totals are still expected to range between a tenth of an inch and an inch of rain on the average. With any heavier pockets of rain, some spots could see amount over an inch.

Futurerain

With the front off to our south for Wednesday afternoon, that will result in a dry afternoon with partly to mostly sunny skies returning. With a light breeze out of the east, we’ll have a nice afternoon with highs in the middle 80s for much of the area.

Wedaftn

We’ll keep the skies nice and quiet for Wednesday evening and for our Thursday. After lows drop back into the middle 60s, we’ll keep warm for Thursday with highs in the middle to upper 80s.

Thuaftn

That will be a nice little break from our highs in the 90s that we’ve seen for the past several days. However, look at the Future Track below. Even with a weak upper-level low off to our south for Friday, the jet stream will start shifting back to the north. With mostly sunny skies, we’ll have highs back near 90 for Friday and into the lower to middle 90s for Saturday and Sunday.

Frijet

After we get through a quiet weekend, we’ll keep quiet under mostly sunny skies for Monday as highs stay in the lower 90s. Once we hit Tuesday and Wednesday of next week, we’ll watch for an upper-level wave approaching from the west. That wants to bring some isolated t-storm chances in for Tuesday and scattered t-storms for Wednesday. Even with that, we’ll have to keep highs in the lower to middle 90s for Tuesday before the rain chances work in.

Tuejet

Have a good night and a great Wednesday!

Nick