Friday Blog: A great Friday but a weekend severe threat. -Doug

A great Friday but a weekend severe threat. -Doug

I hope your week has been great!  We are rolling into Friday with another chilly start but a great finish.

Friday

If you are heading to any high school football games, it looks great on Friday evening with temps into the 60s.  After midnight, some scattered showers and thunderstorms start picking up.

Friday Night

These will continue to develop into a big batch of thunderstorms that will last most of Saturday morning.

Saturday Morning

I think Saturday afternoon looks good.  We also need to watch Sunday afternoon and evening for a shot of severe thunderstorms across the area.

Heady Pattern:  We are cruising through the New Heady pattern that was fully set around September 20th.  Remember, a pattern is what keeps happening.  For instance, we keep getting rain, or snow, heat or a drought.  Now inside the pattern, there is a recurring cycle.  Last years cycle was 46 days long. We are back in a La Nina that looks to get a little stronger through the winter.  This is an influence but only and influence on the pattern.  I am getting very close to nailing down the new cycle length.  I need a week or two to verify but getting close.  It will be a longer cycle this year compared to the 46 day cycle last year.  I think this pattern is going to be a much better pattern than last year.  Well if you like weather.  Long range below.

-Doug

Next Thursday-Saturday: Mild with showers on Thursday.  Chilly and dry heading into Halloween weekend.

October 31st-November 6th: Halloween looks fine right now with mild temperatures.  Staying mild through the first half of the week with showers and thunderstorms on Wednesday and Thursday.  Cooler with showers into the weekend.

November 7th-13th:  Most of the week mild with rain by Thursday.  Turning sharply colder on Friday and Saturday.

November 14th-20th:  Cool the first half of the week with some showers on Monday.  Mild the second half of the week with rain chances on Friday and Saturday.