Fire risk out west for Sunday
Our area still in good shape
For our area tonight and through Sunday, a quick upper level wave will pass by in northern Missouri and southern Iowa. Those areas will have the best chance for picking up any showers late tonight and into Sunday morning. We can’t rule out a light shower or two brushing by areas along and north of US 54, but most areas will stay dry and warm once again for Sunday. Out to the west, upper-level troughing and developing weak shortwaves in the embedded jet stream flow will work together with a surface trough extending out of the Colorado River Valley and into central Utah. With the surface trough also planning on adding mid-level flow of 40 to 55 mph overspreading the area, fire dangers will be present across parts of the west. Critical fire risk conditions are expected over parts of Nevada, Utah and Arizona as a southwest wind of 15-25 mph and relative humidity values of 7% to 15% set up during the afternoon and evening. With these areas not recovering much for Sunday night, the setup will look similar for Monday afternoon and evening. Even with slightly lower wind speeds and slightly higher humidity values over other parts of Eastern Nevada, southern Utah and northern Arizona, an elevated fire risk will be present for those areas during Sunday afternoon and evening. With some isolated dry t-storms possible over parts of western Colorado and northwestern New Mexico, the lightning could possibly spark a few wildfires Sunday afternoon and evening.