Another hot & humid Monday lined up for us – Nick
Watching the progress of our upper-level ridge this week
Good early Monday morning, everyone. After some spots dealt with the chance for t-storms late Saturday night, we all kept dry to wrap up the weekend on our Sunday. It was downright hot and humid, though. After only dropping back into the upper 70s to start Sunday morning out, we went into the middle 90s for our Sunday afternoon. Combine that with dew points in the middle to upper 70s, it felt like temperatures were ranging between 102° and 110° during the afternoon. The heat advisories that we had during the day (and some excessive heat warnings in northeast Oklahoma) expired at 8 o’clock Sunday evening. However, a good number of us will have to put up with the heat advisories again today with another hot and humid day lined up.
It’s easy to see why when you look at the upper-level setup. With the jet to the north of the region, any storm systems will stay well to the north over the next few days. That applied to the t-storms that fired up in western Kansas late Sunday afternoon. The jet has been steering those storms to the northeast which keeps them out of our picture. For us, it’s all about the upper-level high keeping us quiet, hot and humid.
With this upper-level ridge overhead, we’ll stay warm and muggy for the early morning hours and for your Monday AM commute. We’ll only drop back into the upper 70s (some spots near 80°) to start this morning out. Under partly to mostly sunny skies and a southwest wind at 10-20 mph (gusts near 25 mph at times), we’ll head right back into the middle 90s for this afternoon.
Combine the highs with the dew points in the lower to middle 70s, that will make feels like temperatures range between 100 and 107 for much of the area this afternoon. We may even see some spots in northeast Oklahoma push that number near 110° this afternoon.
After another quiet and warm night with lows back in the middle to upper 70s, partly to mostly sunny skies will let temperatures rebound into the lower to middle 90s for our Tuesday afternoon.
Even with the hot temperatures sticking with us for Tuesday, the shifting upper-level ridge should take some of the humidity out of the picture. Nonetheless, it will feel like the middle to upper 90s across the area for Tuesday afternoon.
After another quiet and hot Wednesday with highs in the lower 90s, the upper-level setup will undergo a change for Thursday. It will still be hot with highs in the lower 90s across the area. However, the shifting upper-level high will weaken and allow the jet stream to edge back closer to the area. With a wave riding along the jet and a cold front to our north, that could bring an isolated t-storm or two for Thursday.
While this cold front may not completely pass through as we head into Friday, we’ll still have the chance for at least some isolated t-storms to start Friday out. Since we’ll still be under the overall influence of the upper-level ridge, temperature will stay above normal for Friday with highs around 90°.
After Friday, the upper-level ridge will shift over the area and to the north through the weekend. As it does, it will weaken some. While that keep us above normal, we’re expecting a little break in the heat with highs in the middle to upper 80s under mostly sunny skies for Saturday and Sunday. Don’t forget that Doug has your updated long-range forecast below. Have a great Monday!
June 20th-25th: Except for a warm Tuesday, mainly hot for the week. Slight t-storm chances Monday through Friday. If any days showed a possible severe threat, it would be Monday and Thursday. Dry for Saturday.
June 26th-July 2nd: Temperatures look hot for Sunday. After a warm stretch Monday through Wednesday, we’ll turn hot again for the rest of the week. Slight t-storm chances Sunday (with a severe threat) and slight t-storm chances for Monday and Tuesday. Returning slight t-storm chances for Friday and Saturday.
July 3rd-July 9th: Hot for Sunday before we stay warm for the 4th, Tuesday and Wednesday. Then, hot temperatures return for the rest of the week. Slight t-storm chances for Sunday, Monday, Tuesday, Thursday and Friday.
July 10th-July 16th: Hot temperatures this week. Slight t-storm chances Tuesday, Friday and Saturday.
July 17th-July 23rd: Warm for Sunday and Monday before hot temperatures return for the rest of the week. Slight t-storm chances Sunday, Wednesday and Saturday.
July 24th-July 30th: With the exception of a warm Thursday and Friday, hot for the week. Slight t-storm chances Sunday through Wednesday.
July 31st-August 6th: Hot for much of the week before we back down to warm temperatures by Friday and Saturday. Slight t-storm chances Monday through Friday.
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