A Look at the Tropics – September 16th

A Look at the Tropics – September 16th
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Eastern Pacific 5-Day Tropical Outlook - September 16th

A look at the Tropics on this September 16th has things calming down a little after we were watching quite a few storms in both the Atlantic and Pacific. Starting in the Pacific, we don’t have any tropical storms or systems in progress. With that said, we are watching 2 areas close to the Mexican coast. The area in red is highlighting an elongated low pressure south of the Baja Peninsula. It has disorganized rain and t-storms at this time. Even with environmental conditions favorable for development, the size of this low will mean any development will be slow over the next few days. Heading into the next 5 days, it could become a tropical depression. The odds of that happening sit high at 70%. West of that area, the area in yellow is showing a smaller area of low pressure southwest of the Baja Peninsula. This low is not in a favorable spot to develop, so the odds of development over the next 5 days sit very low at 10%.

From the Atlantic side, Florence is a weak tropical depression that’s still lingering over the Carolinas. It’ll continue to be a big rain problem over the next few days until it finally goes back into the Atlantic this week. In addition to that, there’s still a small tornado threat with the northeast side of Florence over the next day or so. Way out in the Atlantic, we have Tropical Depression Joyce 330 miles southwest of the Azores. It has sustained wind speeds of 35 mph and a minimum central pressure of 1008 millibars. The forecast has Joyce remaining a depression going into this week as it stays away from land. Back near Cuba, the area in yellow is showing the remnants of Isaac. Slow development is possible as it continues traversing across the Caribbean Sea. Once Wednesday comes around, the environment will become less conducive for development. Over the next 5 days, the odds of this re-developing will sit low at 20%. We’ll continue to keep an eye on the Tropics this week.