A look at the Tropics – November 15, 2019

A few systems in the Eastern Pacific
A look at the Tropics – November 15, 2019

Our look at the Tropics shows a few areas that are worth keeping an eye on as another weekend gets started. We don’t have any systems in progress in the Atlantic, and we aren’t expecting any development over the next 5 days.

In the Eastern Pacific, we have Tropical Storm Raymond located 610 miles south of the southern tip of the Baja Peninsula. The sustained wind speeds have been clocked at 45 mph from the 8 AM advisory and is moving north-northwest at 7 mph. Raymond will remain a tropical storm through the majority of the weekend. However, it is expected to weaken into a depression as it nears the Baja coast late Sunday night and early Monday morning. Elsewhere, we have a small low pressure center several hundred miles south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec producing disorganized rain and t-storms. While some gradual development remains possible as the system moves to the west at 10 mph, the odds of developing into a depression don’t look impressive. The odds over the next 5 days sit at 30%.