A Look at the Tropics – August 29th

A Look at the Tropics – August 29th
COPYRIGHT 2018 BY KOAM. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. THIS MATERIAL MAY NOT BE PUBLISHED, BROADCAST, REWRITTEN OR REDISTRIBUTED.
Tropical Storm Miriam August 29th 10 AM Advisory

A look at the Tropics on this August 29th has quite a bit of activity out in the Pacific while something may be stirring up in the Atlantic fairly soon. Starting in the Atlantic Basin, we have a wave trying to get its act together along the western African coast. By Thursday, that wave is forecast to become a low as it heads toward the Cabo Verde Islands. The environment out in the eastern part of the Basin appears favorable for development and a depression could form over the Labor Day Weekend. With that said, the odds of that wave becoming a depression over the next 5 days sit at 60%. In the eastern Pacific, we have a disorganized area of rain and t-storms southwest of Acapulco, Mexico involved with a broad area of low pressure. As the system continues to move away from the Mexican coast, environmental conditions over the next 5 days appear to be conducive for this wave to become a tropical depression this weekend or into next week. The odds of that happening over the next 5 days sit at 60%.

As far as active storms we’re watching, we have 2 out in the Pacific. We have Tropical Storm Miriam located 1,105 miles east of Hilo, Hawaii with sustained wind speeds of 70 mph and a minimum pressure of 996 millibars. Miriam is forecast to become a hurricane this evening and into Thursday. By the weekend, though, Miriam is expected to weaken back into a tropical storm and either continue to weaken or dissipate by Labor Day. With the forecast track keeps Miriam away from the Hawaiian Islands, no impact to land is expected through the Labor Day Weekend. Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Norman is looking quite impressive. The 10 AM CST Advisory had wind speeds clocked at 65 mph and a minimum pressure of 994 millibars. As it continues moving in a general westward direction, it will become a hurricane before the end of today. On top of that, it could become a Major Hurricane (Category 3 or higher) as early as Thursday and as late as this coming weekend. For now, the forecast track keeps Norman away from land. With that said, we’ll continue to keep an eye on the Tropics over the next several days.