A Look at the Tropics – August 25th

A Look at the Tropics – August 25th
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Tropical Storm Lane August 25th 10 PM CST Advisory

A look at the Tropics on this August 25th continues to have one ocean active while the other stays quiet. In the Atlantic, we do not have any active waves at this time and no activity is expected to develop over the next 5 days. In the eastern Pacific, the area in red shows an area of low pressure become better organized south of the Baja Peninsula. While a well-defined center hasn’t formed as of this evening, environmental conditions will favor development as the system continues westward going into next week. The odds of this wave becoming a depression sit fairly high at 70%. South of Acapulco, we have an area highlighted in orange. That represents a broad low with disorganized rain and t-storms with it. Slow development is expected over the course of next week and there is a chance for this to become a depression. The odds of that wave becoming a depression sit fairly moderate at 60%.

In the central Pacific, the focus continues to be on Tropical Storm Lane. The westward movement at 9 mph from the 10 PM Advisory continues to take Lane away from the Hawaiian Islands. The storm is still packing maximum winds of 50 mph and a minimum pressure of 998 millibars. With strong westerly shear acting to weaken Lane, the forecast continues to have Lane become a depression as we go into Monday and Tuesday. Until it moves away enough from the islands, the system will continue to bring rounds of heavy rain and some rough/high surf going into the start of next week.