A look at the Tropics – August 20, 2019

Watching a few disturbances in the Pacific

A look at the Tropics on this August 20th shows a bit of activity in the Atlantic while the Pacific has a couple of disturbances worth watching. In the Atlantic, a low pressure system was located over 300 miles south of Nova Scotia. While this low is producing disorganized rain and t-storms, any chance for significant development is very low as it continues to slowly move eastward. The odds of this low becoming a depression over the next 5 days sit at 10%.

In the Eastern Pacific, we have two disturbances we’re keeping an eye on. The first low is located a couple hundred miles south of the southern Mexican coast. The low already has quite an area of clouds and t-storms as it continues to move west-northwest at 10 to 15 mph. The environment is very conducive for this low to become a tropical depression within the next 2 to 5 days as the odds sit very high at 80% to 90%.

The second low is located over 900 miles west-southwest of the Baja Peninsula with disorganized rain and t-storms. Like the first low, this low is in a favorable environment to become a tropical depression as it continues moving west-northwestward. The odds of this wave becoming a depression over the next 5 days sit quite high at 80%. We’ll continue to keep an eye on the Tropics through the week.