A Look at the Tropics – August 18th

A Look at the Tropics – August 18th
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Atlantic Basin 5-Day Tropical Outlook - August 19th

A look at the Tropics on this August 18th is showing any tropical activity favoring one basin over the other. In the Atlantic, we do not have any active systems in the water. On top of that, we are not expecting any activity to develop over the next 5 days.

In the eastern Pacific, the yellow-highlighted area denotes a tropical wave 900 miles south-southwest of the Baja Peninsula. It’s not looking very impressive as it only has disorganized shower activity as of last check. There may be a brief window of opportunity for a little development over the next few days, but conditions will turn unfavorable as it continues moving westward. The odds of this wave developing over the next 5 days sit very low at 10%. Otherwise, we have Hurricane Lane moving into the Central Pacific. The 4 PM Advisory had Lane as a Major Category 4 storm with sustained wind speeds of 140 mph and a minimum pressure of 940 millibars. The current forecast is set to have Lane remain over the water and not be a threat to the Hawaiian Islands. With that said, it’ll still be a major hurricane through Monday before it gradually weakens to a tropical storm by the middle of next week. We’ll continue to keep an eye on the Tropics.