A look at the Tropics – August 13, 2019

Systems to watch in the Pacific

A look at the Tropics on this August 13th of 2019 shows quite a bit of activity we’re watching over in the Pacific. Meanwhile, the Atlantic Basin and the Gulf of Mexico remain calm with no systems expected to develop over the next 5 days.

In the Eastern Pacific, Henriette has become a remnant tropical low. It was located 410 miles west-southwest of the Baja Peninsula with sustained wind speeds of 30 mph. Its west-northwesterly movement will continue to keep it away from land as it dissipates on Wednesday. There are two other systems in the Eastern Pacific worth watching this week. One is 1,100 miles southwest of the Baja Peninsula with an elongated trough of low pressure producing disorganized rain and t-storms. With this low working into a more favorable environment, the chances of this becoming a depression within the next 5 days sit at 60%. Another broad area of low pressure is expected to develop just off the southeastern Mexican Coast later this week. While conditions do suggest gradual development of this system over the weekend, chances of this becoming a depression sit low at 30% over the next 5 days.

Over in the Central Pacific, we have a trough of low pressure located 1,050 miles southwest of Oahu. Even though it remains disorganized, it’s still producing areas of rain and t-storms. As this wave continues moving westward at 10 mph, some development remains possible over the next 5 days. Despite that being the case, the chance of this turning into a depression sits low at 20% for the rest of the week. We’ll continue to keep an eye on the Tropics.