A dry & hot Monday lined up for us – Nick
Watching heat, rain chances & a pattern change in the forecast
Good early Monday morning, everyone. We kept quiet as we wrapped up the weekend the other day. It was another hot day, though. After we got out of the lower to middle 70s, we found ourselves back into the lower 90s. Looking at our weather setup, we have a surface high over the Indiana/Ohio border keeping our south breeze on the light side. We’re also watching a cold front to our west that wants to come into play for the middle of this week.
Upstairs, we still find ourselves underneath the upper-level ridge that kept us hot last week. A change in this setup will let the upper-level low out to the west nudge the front in our direction.
With the ridge in control, it’s keeping us quiet this morning with low humidity allowing lows to drop back into the middle 60s. Once we get past sunrise, mostly sunny skies and a light south breeze will send us right back into the lower 90s for this afternoon. Even with the humidity relatively lower compared to the past several days, we’ll have just enough for temperatures to feel like they’ll be in the middle 90s this afternoon.
The ridge will start shifting to our south as we head into Tuesday as it also strengthens a little bit. With that and continued mostly sunny skies, we’ll see highs back in the middle 90s for Tuesday afternoon with feels like temperatures back near 100 degrees.
Heading into Wednesday, the upper-level highs shifts down into northern Texas. With that, the ridge will flatten out and allow the cold front out west to come close to the region. While we’ll stay in the lower to middle 90s for Wednesday and Thursday, the front will bring in chances for t-storms for both days. These chances look widely scattered and they don’t look to turn too strong or severe.
By the start of the weekend, the returning upper-level ridge will push the front back to our north. While it will keep us dry for Friday and Saturday, it will keep us quite hot with highs pushing back into the upper 90s across the area. It wouldn’t be surprising if some spots flirted with the 100 degree mark for both of those afternoons ahead of us.
By next Sunday, a stronger system upstairs and at the surface both plan on coming in. With the front, we’ll watch for t-storm chances Saturday night and into Sunday morning. Behind the front and with the ridge planning on shifting back to our south, that wants to bring afternoon highs back down into the middle 80s for Sunday afternoon.
While that drop in temperatures fits Doug’s pattern as we go into early next week, it won’t be long before some summer heat makes another return. Doug has that covered in your long range forecast below. Have a great Monday!
June 27th-July 2nd: Back to warm temperatures to start the week but the hot temps (mainly 90s) return the second half of the week. We will have chances for a pop up PM storm just about each and every day.
July 3rd-July 9th: Hot for Sunday before we stay warm for the 4th, Tuesday and Wednesday. Then, hot temperatures return for the rest of the week. Slight t-storm chances for Sunday, Monday, Tuesday, Thursday and Friday.
July 10th-July 16th: Hot temperatures this week. Slight t-storm chances Tuesday, Friday and Saturday.
July 17th-July 23rd: Warm for Sunday and Monday before hot temperatures return for the rest of the week. Slight t-storm chances Sunday, Wednesday and Saturday.
July 24th-July 30th: With the exception of a warm Thursday and Friday, hot for the week. Slight t-storm chances Sunday through Wednesday.
July 31st-August 6th: Hot for much of the week before we back down to warm temperatures by Friday and Saturday. Slight t-storm chances Monday through Friday.
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